Dingsheng Jinshi:7.5今日黄金走势分析，黄金小区间震荡，多空...

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Tuesday（7month5日）亚市盘初，美元指数交投于105.17附近，尽管市场已降低了对美国加息的预期，但全球经济衰退担忧依然支撑美元走高，市场等待美联储会议纪要和非农数据；澳洲联储将在日内发布利率决议，市场目前押注加息50个基点，同时市场对澳洲联储主席洛威可能就8月会议提供的任何指导感兴趣，他们预计澳洲联储将在8月的会议上连续第三次加息50Basis points.


　　【gold】


　　昨天黄金日线结构上来看，黄金日内先震荡回修后又回弹，但在上方1814The first line was blocked, and then the market fluctuated and retreated, while the low point in the European session retreated to1804On the first line, the overall trend is also in line with the expected volatility and digestion trend for the day. At present, the short-term market trend may not be easy to control, and the late US market closure will also make the market trading sentiment cautious, so the overall volatility will not be significant. Stay tuned above the evening gold5Daily line1812-14Short term pressure competition, although there were punctures within the day1812As5The pressure of daily and small cycle trend lines may still become a key point of contention in the evening. According to the daily structure, if we close today5Not too much on the daily line, but above1820Frontline action10The daily pressure and trend line pressure will still have a further suppressive effect, so short-term gold can be biased towards bearish, but do not expect too much space. Technically, the overall rebound is still weak, and the current rebound is only a technical oversold rebound, making it difficult to achieve a reversal.


At present, while both the bullish and bearish directions of the gold market may occur, it is recommended to focus on the wait-and-see approach in the current market, and follow the direction of the volatility before participating. The short-term trend structure should be clarified first, and the trend should still be bearish, meaning that bears have the main advantage. When the rebound is blocked and suppressed, they will still be bearish. Participation is the rhythm direction of the bearish market, rather than disrupting the rhythm direction due to short-term low rebound. Friday, althoughVType reversal, but never breaking the bearish trend line.4The mid hour orbit will stillKThe physical part of the line is pressed to death, and has not broken through the middle track multiple times, indicating the strong pressure. Breaking through is not a result of Asahi's efforts, and it will inevitably undergo the baptism of time. It is clearly not enough now. Now gold is at a critical watershed position, while4小时中轨压制金价，双重因素引导我们继续看空黄金。在黄金没有转势的情况下，不要枉然抄底。综上所述总结：今日黄金操作上考虑反弹做空为主，上方关注1812-1814USD resistance, follow below1794-1796USD support.


Strategy


　　参考一：反弹1812Nearby empty stop loss1820Target View1800


　　参考二：白盘回踩至1800-1798Short term, stop loss1793, Objective1822Nearby;


　　【crude oil走势回顾】


　　上个星期，美国石油价格涨跌互现，价格基本进入波动交易。尽管市场对欧佩克在这个星期召开增产会议很是期待，不过，欧佩克似乎没有足够的增产能力。然而，在全球央行紧缩的背景下，经济放缓的压力越来越大，这给油价带来压力。当前俄罗斯和乌克兰的局势仍然紧张，伊朗的核谈判没有进展。与此同时，利比亚的紧张局势支撑着油价。


　　【原油】


　　原油从技术层面来看，日水平回测均线，油价继续下跌。目前，技术指标转为看跌，表明油价即将迎来新一轮下跌。


FromK线来看，经过连续三天的利好，油价下跌收复大部分涨幅，而前两天K线，下跌速度呈现加速趋势，表明做空的力度加大，价格有望进一步下跌。从日线来看，NYMEX原油价格自114.05美元开盘以来处于下行趋势，下行支撑位在100.36美元。小时图上看，如果纽约商品交易所原油价格从104.56美元开始反弹(2)Wave, upward resistance looking towards(i)浪在106.79USD23.6%的斐波那契回撤位和108.17USD38.2%的斐波那契回撤位。(1)Waves and(2)浪都是(3)The sub waves of the waves.


Strategy


　　总体来看，今日短线操作建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅。上方短期重点关注111.8-112.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below103.5-104Frontline support


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance and Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!