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eveninggoldTrend analysis:
From the early golden period2070高点开启了下跌浪走势,曾下探1786低位后重返1878高点回落,从而下跌3浪和调整4浪已经告一段落。目前进入主跌浪的第5浪阶段,既然是主跌浪那么肯定是一浪比一浪低。只是当前行情陷入低位震荡,多空延续性较差,处于大起大落宽幅震荡。隔日行情节奏和前日完全一致,亚欧盘承压1822阴跌下行,临近美盘一度跌至1802附近,极限逼近1800大关。随后美盘开盘数据大幅利多,刺激黄金再次单边拉升20余美金至1825,最终走势依然冲高回落,此情此景如出一辙。我们布局的1805多单成功达到目标1823获利出局,随后反手布局23的空单也在1804止盈离场,丝毫不差!
黄金隔日下探1802低点再次冲高回落,已经连续两日都是如此走势,代表高位空头压制极强,震荡下行格局依然没有改变。本周日线已经四连阴下行,MA5—MA10均线死叉下行,布林下轨缓慢向下开口运行,低点在慢慢下移,整体格局上偏空。另外月线收官成功三连阴回落,高位又是倒锤子线在顶,看空情绪乐观,预期7月黄金还将继续走低,冲高也要回落。从而完成日线波浪理论的推算,目前是下跌5浪阶段,今日亚欧盘继续阴跌下破1800大关,对于阴跌而言所有支撑都那么微不足道,现在跌至1790附近,已经极限逼近前低1786this3浪底部,现在行情走势和鼎盛金师预期完全一致。本周规律基本上都是如出一辙,亚欧盘阴跌下行,美盘单边拉升后再次跌回原点,晚间压力关注1805and1812Location.
Evening gold trading strategy:
1--1805-12Near empty, stop loss1820, Objective1805-1800
2--1786Nearby, stop loss1780, Objective1800-1805(破位持有)
crude oilLatest market analysis:
Analysis of crude oil message surface:7month1日亚洲时段,美油交投于106.39dollar/桶;油价周四下跌超3%,受益于美股下跌,美国经济衰退的担忧加剧。俄罗斯副总理亚历山大·诺瓦克在接受Rossiya24电视频道采访时表示,石油产量已经恢复,本月几乎恢复到2月水平。俄罗斯2月仅原油的日产量为102010000 barrels/Day,3-4月降至约90010000 barrels/Day,6月的平均日产量为99010000 barrels/日;俄罗斯确信夏季可以恢复产量,达到OPEC+规定的配额。OPEC+周四表示,在8月将坚持之前商定好的增产计划,但并未讨论9月往后的政策,投资者担心该联盟缺乏进一步增产的能力。此前,OPEC+决定在7Month and8月增产64.810000 barrels/日,之前的增产幅度为43.210000 barrels/日。尽管OPEC+批准了8月份的石油增产计划,但市场对未来的产量感到疑惑,短期或限制油价跌幅。
原油技术面分析:昨日原油开盘回落109.2Nearby, explore on the rebound110.5Nearby obstructed, falling down to explore105Nearby, closing105.9Nearby, the daily line fluctuated and fell before rebounding; Although the rebound of oil prices has been hindered near the middle track of the Bollinger Line, currentlyKDJThe golden cross signal is still present,5Daily moving average10Daily moving average, falling below6month17Daily low point108.30Previously, the short term still leaned towards the bulls, with initial resistance at55Daily moving average110.25Nearby, Tuesday's high point resistance112.22Nearby,21Daily moving average resistance114.33If the resistance can be overcome nearby, it will increase the bullish signal in the future. Given thatMACDThe dead cross signal is still present, and Wednesday's bearish candlestick has swallowed up Tuesday's bullish candlestick. We need to be cautious of the risk of turning downwards and provide initial support108.30Nearby,100The daily moving average is supported by106.42If the support is lost nearby, increase the short-term bearish signal. The Bollinger Line offline track support is currently in use103.74附近。综合来看,原油今日操作思路上鼎盛金师建议以回踩做多为多,反弹高空为辅,上方短期关注110.3-110.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below106.0-105.5Frontline support.
Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance and Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!
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