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goldLatest market analysis:
Analysis of gold news: Thursday(6month30day)，现货黄金破位下跌，创5month16Recently, it has reached a new low1802.52dollar/盎司，由于美元走强和各国央行的鹰派言论削弱了黄金的吸引力。各国央行决策者表示，抗通胀进程将是痛苦的，但必须迅速采取行动。美元指数徘徊在最近二十年高点105.801下方附近，这使得以美元计价的黄金对海外买家来说更加昂贵。且投资者会担心，高利率提高了持有非孳息资产黄金的机会成本。世界各国央行行长齐聚葡萄牙欧洲央行论坛时表示，全球抗通胀进程将是痛苦的，甚至可能导致经济增长崩溃，但必须迅速采取行动，以防止物价快速增长变得根深蒂固。
黄金技术面分析：近期黄金的价格下跌趋势很明显，但是就是难以下去，这个过程很煎熬。周三欧美盘，黄金价格大涨后大跌，收线在1820下方，以阴十字星收尾。对于日线周期，或者说是近期的大趋势而言，依旧是震荡看空不变，但是对于日内短线来说，震荡反弹调整信号不明显，所以今天黄金短线以18阻力看下调，下方预计看1800-1805区间，欧美盘给出机会，可以看多，晚间破日内高点1821可以慢慢去看1826-1830区间。总结：近期黄金没有什么好说的，大趋势坚持空头，短线也许有反弹，但要区分反弹调整走势还是反转走势，目前这个阶段，黄金日线没有收线站稳1850上方，都不算是反转行情，所以长线大胆反弹空即可。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注1820-1825Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1795-1790Frontline support.
Thursday(6month30day)，国际油价涨跌互现，尽管美国成品油库存增加，但全球供需形势紧张料限制油价下行空间。厄瓜多尔产量因持续抗议活动而下降，沙特可能在8月份连续第二个月针对亚洲客户上调轻质原油价格。美国能源信息署(EIA)周四公布，最近一周美国原油库存下降，但燃料库存上升，因为炼油厂的活动增加，而行业产量达到两年多来的最高值，因应全球供应紧张和价格高企。EIA表示，美国石油行业一直在努力提高产量，但库存不断减少，俄克拉荷马州库欣中心的库存降至2014year10月以来最低。有分析师表示，“EIA的报告给市场带来了阻碍，汽油和馏分油库存的增加稍微缓解了压力，美国产量的上升也是价格下跌的一个因素。美国国务院能源安全高级顾问接受彭博电视采访时表示，美国欢迎OPEC+本月早些时候加快石油供应增速的决定，称这是“态度的重大转变”。希望OPEC+7Month and8月增产64.810000 barrels/天的计划是其供应政策的“第一步”，随后将有“第二步”跟进，美国正在与仍然有闲置产能的OPEC国家会谈，美国将评估是否有必要在10月份以后进一步释放战略石油储备。总体来看，受到成品油库存增加，以及经济放缓担忧盖过供给紧张担忧，油价短线存进一步回落空间；日内油价关注OPEC+会议，OPEC+是否满足美国希望其有第二步跟进增产的计划，将成焦点。
原油技术面分析；原油昨日探高回落收阴，日线在三连阳反弹之后触及了中轨承压，尾盘回落收在低位，最高113.98.Lowest to109.60.今日早盘小有延续。日线伴随B浪反弹，刚好触及到布林道中轨，点到即止。也是昨日提及的阻力空点。在中轨处摸高有可能构造B浪反弹高点，日线转阴之后，初步有所承压，昨日在113.30-113.50一带的空单也有所收获。随着日线的承压，今日若不能收复113.98高点，短线可能继续走回落。4小时图经过此前的慢性反弹，昨日探高转双阴回落，直接击穿4小时图中轨且收在之下，4小时中轨是此前的上升通道的临界点，短线破位后收低，今日短线倾向于先走回落，首个目标先看下轨处107.0附近。故日内短线先行短空，临界点在112.20阴K线的高点处，综上所述，原油今日操作思路上指南金师建议以宽幅震荡为主，上方短期关注113.0-114.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below106.0-105.0Frontline support.
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