Guide Metallographer:6.30今日黄金走势分析，黄金继续上下扫荡！

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　时间、数据及事件


　　14:00UK Q1GDPAnnual rate final value


　　14:00英国第一季度经常帐


　　14:30Switzerland5Monthly actual retail sales annual rate


　　14:45France6monthCPIMonthly rate


　　15:00Switzerland6monthKOFEconomic leading indicators


　　15:55Germany6Number of unemployed people after quarterly adjustment


　　15:55Germany6Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment


　　17:00eurozone5Monthly unemployment rate


　　20:30Canada4monthGDPMonthly rate


　　20:30From the United States to6month25Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


　　20:30U.S.A5Monthly CorePCEAnnual rate of price index


　　20:30U.S.A5Monthly CorePCEMonthly rate of price index


　　20:30U.S.A5Monthly personal expenditure rate


　　21:30European Central Bank President Lagarde delivers a speech


　　21:45U.S.A6Month ChicagoPMI


Yesterday(6month29day)，美国第一季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率录得5.2%Higher than expected5.10%；美国第一季度实际GDPRecorded final value of annualized quarterly rate-1.6%, lower than expected-1.50%。美联储主席鲍威尔昨日表示，美国经济形势强劲，能够承受货币政策举措。在劳动力市场强劲的情况下，有办法恢复2%的通货膨胀率，但不能保证。美国软着陆是可能的，但将相当具挑战性，因为路径越来越窄。同时鲍威尔还重申，美联储将专注于通胀。另外，克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特表示，希望明年美国利率高于4%，加息对于降通胀非常有必要。她提倡加息75个基点。她还称，美国通胀可能会进一步上升，企业和家庭的长期通胀预期将继续上升，但利率正朝“更正常的水平”迈进，并预计美国经济不会衰退。受以上鹰派言论的影响，美元指数实现两连阳，并突破105关口，黄金则呈现过山车行情，在触碰1832.72的日内高点后跳水，并回吐所有涨幅。


　　地缘局势方面，俄罗斯总统普京表示，在乌克兰的特别军事行动的目标没有改变，但可能采取不同的战术，为在乌克兰的“特别军事行动”设定结束日期是没有用的。俄罗斯军队正在乌克兰推进和将达成目标。俄罗斯总统新闻秘书佩斯科夫也表示，如果乌方能够命令民族主义者放下武器并满足俄方条件，特别军事行动可以在当天结束。今日重点关注美国初请失业金人数变动、美国5monthPCE年率和美国5月个人支出月率，同时关注地缘局势的相关消息。


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金昨日探高回落收低，短线依旧胶着，但节奏上还是处于震荡向下当中，虽然短线伴随反复的冲高回落蓄势，但反弹后收不在高位。日线停旧是收低转阴的弱势走法，目前带动短期均线开始死叉向下空头发散，日线等待放量，目前处于整理蓄势当中。下行趋势线的压制依旧有效。昨日最高1832.82.minimum1812.冲高收低弱势不改。技术结构趋势偏空，短线迂回洗盘。4小时局部走不出单边，短线拉锯反复。点位比方向更重要的走法，昨日在1823一线做空以及1830上方加空，都有所斩获，趋势未改，伴随冲高择高补空，再尾盘回落收割。4小时暂时还处于下行趋势线之内运行，上轨的阻力在1840-1847.临界点未收复，短线看弱趋势不变，操作处依旧维持反弹高空看摔低1800Below.1小时图昨日伴随冲高回落的过山车，并没有走出单边，但拉锯的幅度也比较大，均线指标形成压制，综上所述指南金师总结：今日黄金操作思路上建议以反弹高空为主，回踩低多为辅，上方短期关注1835-1840Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1810-1805Frontline support.

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