Guide Metallographer:6.29今日黄金走势分析，黄金持续节奏小心来回

　　goldMessage interpretation:


Tuesday(6month28day)进入欧市盘中，中国放宽疫情检疫规定的消息缓解了投资者对全球增长的担忧，这刺激风险情绪回升，欧股反弹，油价拉升，美元小幅回落，黄金则试图企稳。本交易日来看，投资者重点关注北约峰会以及欧洲央行行长拉加德的讲话。


　　黄金价格周二持稳，因为在缺乏影响市场走势的催化剂的情况下，交易员拒绝对任何一个方向做出承诺。


　　英国、美国、日本和加拿大禁止从俄罗斯进口黄金的举动，在全球黄金市场被视为一种象征性的举动，因为俄罗斯对西方的黄金出口已经枯竭。


　　周一，受此消息影响，黄金在亚洲交易时段走高，随后迅速失去动能，以较低的价格结束交易。


　　“‘俄罗斯禁金令’是催化剂，但只是短期的。自俄罗斯入侵以来，俄罗斯的资产一直是禁区，因此七国集团(G7)确认禁止购买黄金的决定并没有什么意义。这使得黄金价格处于本周开始时的水平，处于波动区间的中间，”City IndexSenior Market AnalystMatt Simpsonexpress.


　　道明证券(TD Securities)经济学家报告称，七国集团禁止俄罗斯进口黄金的禁令预计不会影响黄金交易，因为LBMA的禁令已经切断了俄罗斯在七国集团主要市场的新产量，价格走势的逆转反映了对黄金的轻微影响。


　　俄罗斯政府周一(6month27day)In a statement, Russia stated that it does not accept the fact that it has defaulted on its foreign debt due to Russia's gold andforeign exchangeThe reserves are illegally blocked. Russia in5Paid the coupon rate of the Eurobond in month, and the European Bank Clearing House(Euroclear)Not accepting Russian euro bond trading is not our problem.


　　指标美国10年期公债收益率在前一交易日上涨后回落，提振黄金需求。


　　美元保持稳定。黄金一直在密切跟踪美元汇率，最近几周美元走强限制了以美元计价的黄金价格。


　　“黄金市场仍然是一个交易者的市场——它很容易受到虚假消息和小消息迅速逆转的影响。这意味着在我们看到一个催化剂，给市场注入一些活力之前，我们更喜欢区间交易策略，”SimpsonSay.


　　道明证券经济学家指出：“黄金投资者嗅到了与经济增长放缓、但通胀挥之不去相关的潜在滞胀后果，也应该考虑到，面临信用危机的央行可能会继续加息，时间也会更长。在这种情况下，预计美联储将转向与衰退机率之间的关联将比以往更小。”


　　根据亚特兰大联储的GDP Now模型，美国经济预计在第二季度增长0.3%, higher than6month16Daily predicted0%。 The Atlanta Federal Reserve wrote in its report: "After the recent release of data by the Federal Reserve Board, the National Association of Real Estate Agents, and the United States Census Bureau, the actual growth of private domestic investment in the second quarter increased from-9.0%Ascend to-8.1%。”


　　全球最大的黄金交易所交易基金SPDR Gold Trust表示，其黄金持有量周一从上周五的1,061.04吨下降0.44%, to1,056.40Tons.


Technical analysis of gold:


Gold rebounded last week and resumed its recovery after pressure testing, confirming the current weak state of the market. Today, we will pay attention to it first1820Competition, but as time passes, the probability of this position falling will also increase. Once it falls, you can pay more attention below1812-10Competition, even under the influence of extreme emotions, the market may retreat to1805-00The possibility of finding support in the area. Stay tuned above in the evening1830-33Short term pressure band, if the market wants to reverse today, stand up1830The above is a technical requirement, but even if one stands firm1830Above, there may not be strong rebound momentum in the short term, as the current fundamentals are relatively light, and the impact on the US dollar trend in the short term should be particularly concerned.


Although gold is today1822The position has gained support and rebounded, but the rebound strength is insufficient, which is different from the previous strong rebound. It also indicates that the bull strength is starting to decline, and the decline is about to start. Once the level breaks, the market will directly fall to1815even to the extent that1800Location. After adjusting for the gold shock, we have chosen our direction again. Although the current market volatility is not significant, it is already the calm before the storm. The storm is about to strike, so we will continue to hold short and wait for the market to break through and decline! In summary, the guide for gold today's operation is summarized by the gold expert. The gold expert suggests that the main focus should be on rebounding from high altitudes, with more rebounding from low altitudes as a supplement, and short-term attention should be paid to the top1840-1845Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1820-1815Frontline support.


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