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Guide Metallographer:6.27Analysis of the current gold trend, can we break through today's short jump and high opening..

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  goldMessage interpretation:


Federal Reserve Eagle King Brad24Japan stated that he believes that raising interest rates will slow down economic growth. At present, interest rates are still far from neutral. In this situation, raising interest rates early is a good idea. But it is too early to debate the possibility of recession. Raising interest rates early means that the Federal Reserve can nip inflation in the bud before it takes root. He also expressed his intention to raise interest rates to3.5%。 However, once the anti inflation momentum begins to form, the Federal Reserve may lower policy interest rates.


  2024yearFOMCVote committee member Daley said that perhaps there will be2024Starting from the year, we began discussing the endpoint of the reduction table. He does not anticipate a recession in the US economy. He also stated that if the Fed's pre interest rate hikes were effective, the Fed would ultimately need to do even less.


The New York Fed published an article last Friday stating that despite the late impact of the Fed's interest rate hike, inflation may still remain high until the second half of next year. Merely tightening monetary policy is not enough to explain the forecast of a slowdown in US inflation over the next year. The New York Fed expects inflation rates to ease in both the US and the eurozone, but2023year5It will remain high until the end of the month. Compared to the eurozone, the likelihood of inflation easing in the United States being greater than expected is higher.


According to a person familiar with the matter, US President Biden and other leaders of the Group of Seven will reach an agreement to ban the import of new gold from Russia. This will be the latest sanctions against Russia. According to senior US officials, the US Treasury Department will issue a resolution today to ban the import of new Russian gold. In addition, the Group of Seven will announce a ban on the import of new gold from Russia on Tuesday and may take a series of measures to pressure Russia. The UK also stated that it will announce a ban on Russian gold imports at the G7 meeting.


Gold jumped more than once in the morning opening on Monday10USD, mainly due to weekendsG7Leaders hold a meeting to impose sanctions on Russia, and Britain, the United States, and Japan will ban new Russian gold exports. As a result, Russia has also strengthened its missile attacks on Ukraine, raising concerns about the geopolitical situation in the market.


Today's Focus:


  20:30U.S.A5Monthly rate of durable goods orders


  22:00U.S.A5Monthly rate of contracted sales index for completed housing


  22:30U.S.A6Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for the Month


The next day01:30European Central Bank President Lagarde delivers a speech


Technical analysis of gold:


The daily level fluctuates and falls;KDJSlightly dead fork,MACDGlued but with green bars appearing, the moving average starts to be bearish, and the short-term gold price tends to fluctuate downward, initially supporting the Bollinger Line's lower track1814.56Nearby, if the support falls below this level, the gold price may initiate a new round of decline, further supporting the1800Stronger support near integer levels5Monthly low point1786.70Nearby. In addition,6month14Daily low point1804.98There may also be some support nearby. Given that the current gold price is still in a volatile trend, it is necessary to pay attention to the support of bargain hunting,5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average resistance is currently at1831.50Nearby,200The resistance of the daily moving average and the Bollinger line in the middle track1844.60Nearby, if the position can be recovered, increase the short-term bullish signal; Further resistance in1850Near the integer level, and then6month16Resistance to daily highs1857.39Nearby. From a broader perspective, gold prices are1821.72USD to1847.95The USD range fluctuates up and down.20Period and50Moving Average of Futures IndexEMALocated at1828.30USD and1831.58The US dollar is declining, which strengthens the downward trend. Meanwhile, Relative strength indexRSI(14)Showing signs of losing downward momentum. Momentum oscillation index40.00Obtain support near the horizontal. In summary, the guidelines for today's operation of gold suggest that the gold industry should focus on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by a pullback from low altitudes, with a focus on the above1838-1843Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1808-1813Frontline support.

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