鼎盛：6.27今日黄金走势分析，受困通胀加息，本周拨开云...

goldTechnical analysis:

      Monday（6month27日）亚市盘初，美元指数交投于104.10附近，交易商缩减了对利率可能达到的峰值的押注，并提前了为应对可能出现的衰退而降息的时机预期。美国联邦基金利率futures上周五定价，7月会议上美联储加息75The probability of a basis point is73%。但对于9月份，市场已经完全消化了仅有50个基点的加息幅度。

　　黄金上周五先偏弱震荡回撤至1817一线，晚盘行情有所回弹，上方一度测压至1832附近。日线结构上来看，黄金短线承压20日线的状态已经很明确，今日测压后再度回落，且基本面也迎合了技术上的需要，所以短期内黄金或有很大的可能性会延续一波下调，可能会适度的扩大下调空间。下方可着重关注日线级别区间下沿1810-05区域，而且此位也是低点趋势线支撑位，支撑作用相对还是比较大的。日内上方则关注5、10Daily line1832/33附近回弹测试情况，主压依旧在20Daily line1834/39附近，但周五收阴力度较大，日内再回弹测压至此的概率会非常小。

Before5个交易日依旧没有打开震荡区间，从技术日线盘面上来看，其间表现出的止跌以及回弹动能已经显得很弱，行情即便有回弹，空间也不会很大，且小时图级别均线呈现交叉向下状态，日内扩大回修空间的可能性也加大许多，故日内还是以看调整延续为主。上方可关注小时均线压力1833-35一带，下方线关注1815争夺，但以趋势线来看，下方或有可能回撤1808-10一带。操作上，日内主思路依旧以持空以及择高再短空为主。综合来看，操作上建议：

　　策略①：可在1822/21做多，严格带止损1817, the goal is only to see1827-30区域即做减离。

　　策略②：上方若反弹1833、1835附近，激进可轻仓再短空，带止损1840Above, look down at the target1823-20Area.



       crude oilTrend analysis:

Next week's high-level trend list for crude oil is clearly analyzed: crude oil this week emphasizes that the trend follows the mid range short range, and has repeatedly provided precise high-altitude thinking during the reversal of the market, as scheduled for a downward trend. You can check it yourself! There is a demand for a rebound in technology as the weekly closing line is longer and the shadow is darker. Circumferential resistance110-111.2Nearby, this position is not broken, and the low position oscillates mainly. Expand the upper and lower intervals. Upper resistance112.2-115.2Currently, below103-101.Focus on rebound resistance levels at the beginning of the week. Provide specific operation details.

​​​​​​​文/Ding Sheng Jin Shi, Contributor, Interpreting World Economic Highlights by Myself,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Dingsheng Jinshi provides online one-on-one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.!