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Guide Metallographer:6.24今日黄金走势分析,金价上方承压

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  goldMessage interpretation:

Thursday(6month23day)进入欧市盘中,全球股市下跌,投资者担心,为抑制数十年来的高通胀而进一步加息会使经济陷入衰退。美元维持涨势,黄金承压逼近1830美元,盘中最低去达1821美元,低收于1822.40dollar/盎司,全日跌幅达0.85%。

  美联储主席杰罗姆?鲍威尔隔夜指出,1%的加息是切实可能的。当被参议院银行委员会的一名成员问及美联储是否可能同时升息至多100个基点时,鲍威尔表示,他绝不会排除任何可能,官员们将采取一切必要措施来恢复物价稳定。

  政策制定者正在采取重大措施,试图将通胀率降至40年来的高点,美联储主席重申了他将消费者价格指数增速降至2%目标水平的决心。鲍威尔在国会作证时说,美联储完全致力于控制物价,即使这样做有可能导致经济下滑。鲍威尔定于星期四晚些时候在华盛顿特区再次作证。交易员们目前正在讨论,在经济低迷的情况下,美联储将把利率周期延长到什么程度。货币市场显示,央行在11月政策会议后加息的可能性降低。事实上,市场一直在消化7monthFOMC会议再次加息75个基点的预期。美联储鹰派预期为美元提供了一些支撑,这反过来削弱了以美元计价的黄金的需求。

  短期金价仍处于日线移动平均线技术指标压力位价格下方,当前整理区间维持将进一步加剧日线移动平均线向下交叉偏空排列形态。小时线显示,短期金价冲高回落重回技术指标压力位价格下方,随着短线下行延续进一步带来小时线较为规整向下发散偏空排列形态,维持较为强劲偏空指引参考。日内下方要留意近期横盘大区间下沿1810美元附近的支撑力度,若下破,恐黄金将更深一步的测试低位支撑区域。

Today's Focus:

  14:00 britain5Monthly retail sales rate after quarterly adjustment

  16:00 Germany6monthIFOBusiness Prosperity Index

  18:15 美联储布拉德出席专家谈话

  19:30 美联储布拉德就央行政策和通胀进行讨论

  22:00 U.S.A6Final Value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for the Month

  22:00 U.S.A5Annualized total monthly sales of new homes

The next day01:00 From the United States to6month24Total number of oil drilling in the current week

The next day03:30 U.S.ACFTC公布周度持仓报告

The next day04:00 IMF讨论美国经济的年度评估

Technical analysis of gold:

  今日已经周五了,本周行情依旧扑朔迷离,没有打破低位震荡格局。隔日依旧是反复深V过山车走势,亚欧盘承压1840下行走低至1824位置,随后美盘迎来强势拉升,直接单边上涨至1847高点,整整拉升25美金幅度。刺激的还没结束,随后午夜冲高1847位置又承压回落,行情再次反转跌回1823低点,来了个深V洗盘走势,目前日线处于低位震荡,布林三轨呈现走平运行,多空延续性较差,虽然隔日冲高回落大阴收尾,不过今日可能也不会跌,说不定又是个不跌反涨的行情。当然今天周尾有变盘的可能性,就看亚盘能不能守住1820了,指南金师觉得若是亚盘不跌那么今日回阳几率就大了。只是本月开始接近尾声,而近期一直说的月线顶部一根冲高回落倒锤子线之后连收两阴,奠定了6月份看空势头,那么本月来看空头基础上压制多头,也就是冲高回落走势。那么今日亚欧盘首先关注1833Pressure, following below1821Support.

Golden Operation Strategy:1835Near empty, stop loss1840, Objective1827-1823

Golden Operation Strategy:1820Nearby, stop loss1815, Objective1832-1836

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