Guo Shengshan:6.23黄金原油全面走势分析及操作建议

　goldMarket trend analysis;

Thursday（6month23At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1836Near the US dollar, overnight Federal Reserve Chairman Powell acknowledged in his Senate testimony that there is definitely a possibility of an economic recession in the United States, and the challenge of a soft landing is significant. This puts pressure on the US dollar, providing support for gold prices; And because gold is considered a tool to hedge inflation, inflation data in both the UK and Canada have risen40年高位，也增加了黄金的吸引力。昨日周三是鲍威尔为期两天国会听证会的第一天。在参议院银行委员会听证会上，鲍威尔在开场白中表示，为了给40年来最严峻的通胀降温，官员们“预计持续加息是适当的。他说，过去一年，通胀显然超出了预期，而且还会保持这种势头。因此，我们需要灵活应对未来的经济数据和不断变化的前景。鲍威尔的书面讲话内容和上周其在新闻发布会上的表态基本类似，当时美联储将基准利率区间上调了75Base point to1.50%-1.75%, creating1994年以来最大升息幅度。虽然鲍威尔上周告诉记者7月底的下次会议上可能加息75or50个基点，但周三的讲话中没有提及未来加息的规模。综合来看郭晟衫认为，目前黄金市场基本走势像是一个钟摆，在通胀压力和美联储对抗通胀的承诺之间来回摆动，由于美联储的鹰派作风，我们看到市场上不时出现快速下跌。我认为，钟摆将继续更多地朝着潜在通胀给黄金带来的基本支撑方面摆动。短期来看金价整体仍处于震荡走势。

　　黄金技术面分析；黄金昨日低位反弹不改震荡，日线伴随下探回升收阳，整体仍处于区间内运行，并没有明显的单边突破迹象，短期还将陷入反复拉锯，不过暂时处于向下趋势中的整理修正，技术结构上，日线仍是震荡偏下行，但短线迂回反复。4After a negative drop of hours earlier, the single positive rose rapidly yesterday, but the closing was still unstable. The next day, there was still a slight rebound in the opening and a return to the east1836Oscillating operation below, rebound not closing high, lack of continuity, combined withK线结构，来回拉锯是主格调，并不是单边方向的开始。短期内或许还将继续维持这种宽幅震荡拉锯，操作上以超短线为主。区间卡点是关键。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1822-1817Frontline support.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　原油昨日中阴线下行走低，此前日线经过两根小阳十字K线的整理修正，昨日再次的放量下挫，日线仍处于延续回撤当中，而昨日开盘即弱势下跌，也表现的较为弱势，主要是周初两个交易日修正走弱。消息方面：因投资者担心美联储加息可能使美国经济陷入衰退，从而抑制对燃料的需求。美国石油协会(API)According to data, US crude oil and gasoline inventories increased last week, while distillate inventories decreased. As of6month17During the current week, crude oil inventories increased by approximately560Ten thousand barrels, gasoline inventory increases120Ten thousand barrels, while distillate oil inventories decreased by approximately170Ten thousand barrels.

　　4During the extended wave pattern of hourly decline, as the rebound high point moves downwards and downward space is released, the short-term trend gradually weakens. And the rebound peak at the beginning of the week111.16Becoming a critical point for short-term bearish positions, yesterday it weakened under pressure below this level, and rebounded in the late trading session107.30The secondary pressure in the vicinity is also the conversion resistance of the breaking point,4Looking back at the hour.1小时图下跌台阶中运行，随着高点的慢慢向下。短线操作次高点不收复，这种下跌台阶则会持续，操作上维持反弹高空，突破111.16再调整思路也不迟，目前阻力在107.0-107.30一带，波动基数加大，更加考验进场点位。

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.