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Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.
Investment itself has no risk, only out of control investments have risk
Message surface
Thursday(6month23At the beginning of the Asian market, in stockgoldNarrow volatility, currently trading at1832.76附近,隔夜美联储主席鲍威尔在参议院证词陈述中承认美国经济衰退的可能性肯定存在,软着陆挑战很大。这令美元承压,给金价提供支撑;而因为黄金被认为是对冲通胀的工具,英国和加拿大通胀数据均升至40The annual high also increases the attractiveness of gold. However, the expectation of global central banks to raise interest rates remains high, the yield of treasury bond is still high, and gold bulls still have concerns.
日内重点关注美国截至6month13Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States6monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI初值、美联储主席鲍威尔在众议院金融服务委员会就半年度货币政策报告做证词陈述。
黄金分析
黄金隔日日间承压1831小幅震荡回调,午后最低回调1823美金企稳反弹上涨,成功回补1831下跌缺口,加速反弹,晚间最高反弹1848附近承压震荡调整,日线报收一根实体中阳KLine.
黄金最近震荡反复,大涨大跌,但依旧没有走出震荡的区间范围内,还是震荡走势!现在基本上维持1830-1848区间内运行。早盘受到1830的支撑,先多看涨,上方的压力还是关注1848,只有真正的走出区间后才能走出新方向!小时图上k线与均线反复纠缠,难解难分,没有明显的方向,这也加大了操作的难度。早盘支撑位置先多看涨,继续按照区间震荡操作,1830支撑先多。
Short term operation suggestions
Gold in1830Long nearby, stop loss1825Stop surplus1842-1845;
Rebound1847Short nearby, stop loss1853Stop surplus1836-1831;
Internationalcrude oilMessage and technical aspects:
Message: Thursday(6month23During the Asian session, US Oil fell slightly and is currently trading at103.80dollar/Near the bucket, in the morningAPIData shows that US crude oil and gasoline inventories rose last week, and US President Biden called for a suspension of gasoline taxes. Coupled with the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes, concerns about an economic recession have weighed on oil prices. Focus on the United States as of today6month13Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States6monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIInitially, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell gave testimony to the House Financial Services Committee on the semi annual monetary policy report. Reminder: US Energy Information Administration(EIA)Publish a statement stating that they will not proceed as planned in the6month23Daily release of weekly crude oil inventory report; The reason is that a "system problem" occurred, and experts are studying solutions to restore the affected system.EIAThe statement states that it will be released on6month23Daily release as scheduledEIA天然气库存报告,但定于本周发布的其他所有数据都将推迟发布。
技术面:昨日原油开盘走低,随后进一步扩大跌幅,最低逼近101附近。随后尾盘震荡上行,但早间由于API数据利空,且鲍威尔证词后加剧了市场对于经济的担忧,引发油价再次大跌。技术面小时图MACD金叉缩量,CCI处于低位,预计反弹空间有限。四小时MACD死叉延续,CCI处于超卖附近,总体空头格局并未改变。原油日线图反弹受阻回落,目前价格沿BOLLRunning down the track,KD指标在超卖区运行,预计中期冲高回落的概率较大;小时图下降趋势运行,目前价格仍在低位震荡,KD指标在超卖区金叉,预计短期反弹再下跌的概率比较高。
WTI多空转折点:104.8dollar/bucket
策略参考:多单建议101.5dollar/桶附近做多原油,目标看至106.2-107.2dollar/桶。空单建议106.2dollar/盎司附近做空,目标看至101.5and98.2dollar/Bucket.
This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting
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