Dingsheng Jinshi:6.23今日黄金最新走势分析，黄金难逃震荡反复...

goldMessage surface parsing:

Wednesday(6month22day)欧市盘中，市场情绪再度低迷，股市反弹逆转，大宗商品下跌，美元攀升，美联储货币紧缩可能导致经济衰退的警告越来越强烈。值此之际，油价跌幅扩大，拜登可能在今晚宣布暂时暂停征收联邦燃油税，黄金维持跌势，目前交投在1835美元附近。美联储主席鲍威尔周三(6month22day)对国会议员说，美联储决心降低通货膨胀，并且有能力做到这一点。那到底要怎样理解这次决议？包括今天讲话为什么利率市场反跌？导致黄金上行？

Firstly,75个基点的态度市场是认可的，包括下个月是否75个基点，这已经不是市场关心的事情，而是在3月份到现在一连串的加息动作以后，数据的作为会是如何的，要知道在6月之前，美联储是一共累计加息了75个点的，现在利率水平为1.5%，而最新通胀数据依然是接近9%。那也就是说，你加息到底会不会有用？市场早就算计了美联储经济衰退的可能，因为历来紧缩货币政策只有沃尔克时期避免了经济硬着陆，但当时的环境并非现在，我并不是在这里阐述阴谋论，而是在接下来，市场没有信心会迎接回落的通胀数据，下周马上就PCE了（美联储最关心的通胀指标），这也许是打开情绪魔盒的导火索。

　　这次发言基本延续了利率决议的内容，致力于通胀回归2%，那等于说要先把失业率搞到4%以上，不然薪资=螺旋式通胀的公式就会一直存在，还说了一句美国经济依然强劲，有方法避免经济硬着陆，我很想问鲍威尔，你不觉得自己这句话很矛盾吗？总而言之，美联储自己心里没底，我并不是要在这里说跟美联储作对，市场也是基于这个考虑，一直没有因为本次大加息而走过分定价。前端风险不还等于黄金走涨吗？利好根本就没开始，也不存在消逝完毕，要是开始了，鼎盛金师不认为短期内能迅速回撤，除非真印证美联储所说，通胀回落加经济数据良好。

　　6.23Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金白盘如预期延续震荡回修，欧盘时段下方回撤至1823On the first line, the low point of the pullback is basically near the expected downward channel, and the market rebounded significantly before late trading. At one point, the upward pressure was measured to1847frontline. From the hourly chart structure, gold is retreating during the day1823The rebound in the vicinity is in line with technical expectations, but the current short-term rebound amplitude still appears to be relatively large, but it has not exceeded the expected range. However, after the current market rebounds below the moving average, the short-term trend also carries the risk of a change in price. Although gold has dropped to its lowest point today1822The low point, but it has stretched again and has reached the low point so far1840upper. Although falling below1830Many people believe that the trend has changed, but in fact, I once thought it might be about to reverse. However, gold has never physically broken through1825Here, so I also have doubts, it is likely to be a decoy. Sure enough, the current rebound is on the rise1840upper. At present, the areas that gold needs to pay attention to are still1835-30Here, it remains an important support position for gold.

Gold rebounded rapidly after today's negative decline, seemingly not small in magnitude, but it is still far from the open range（1820-1855），4Hours have been trading sideways for two consecutive days this week without any signs of reaching a high, as they fell behind yesterday1830The low point indicates that the short term is unable to further touch high and upward, but rather weakens after consolidation. Currently4The hour structure broke through the previous upward trend line of rebound, and reversed the weak trend and fell back, reaching today's high point1847.70To defend, we will first look for a downward trend today, and it is expected that the market will be weak. In the future, we will explore a downward trend first.1小时图稍显钝化。伴随整理式的阴跌，但空间又没释放，长时间的横向整理，短线节奏依旧是震荡式的，方向处于下行，昨日探高回落收低后，短期会先行走弱。综上所述鼎盛金师总结：今日黄金操作上建议以反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1847-1852Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1827-1822Frontline support.

　　crude oilMessage surface parsing:

Wednesday（6month22日）亚欧时段，美原油大幅走弱，一度下跌近6%to103.20dollar/桶，原因是美国总统拜登推动降低飙升的燃预计成本，包括对美国主要公司施加压力，以帮助缓解该国夏季需求高峰期间司机的痛苦。一位了解计划的消息人士表示，在美国努力应对汽油价格飙升和通胀之际，美国总统拜登预计在周三呼吁暂停征收每加仑18.4美分的联邦汽油税。不过，俄乌局势依然紧张，仍需提防逢低买盘的支撑情况。

Technical analysis of crude oil:

　　原油昨日小阳星KLine sorting and leveling, with the highest rebound reaching111.16一线承压，尾盘相对还是收在了低位，今日开盘后开始走弱，日线经过两个交易日的整理修正，短线有进一步下行的迹象，整理后的转换走弱。4The rebound correction in the downward step of the hour, which hit the pressure on the Bulling Road mid track yesterday, although it did not lower in the end of the day, it began to decline at the beginning of today's trading, with signs of a downward break near the low point,4Looking back at the hour.1The extended wave in the downward wave of the hour chart, the previous high point of the step has not been recovered, and yesterday's rebound was also the last high point of the previous late rebound112.20下方承压。短线仍有下行风险，初步支撑在上周五低点106.40附近，如果失守该支撑，则可能会进一步跌向布林线下轨103.30附近，甚至是5month19Daily low point100.66附近。不过，油价连续两天在106.40附近获得支撑，55日均线支撑也在该位置附近，周一更是录得了十字星，需要提防油价重拾涨势的可能性，初步阻力在5Daily moving average111.09附近，布林线中轨阻力在112.53附近，若能顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上鼎盛金师建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期重点关注106.8-107.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below102.5-102.0Frontline support.

Wen/Ding Sheng Jin Shi, Contributor, Interpreting World Economic Highlights by Myself,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Dingsheng Jinshi Online Solution Set,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.!