Guo Shengshan:6.22晚间黄金还会跌吗？原油独家策略

6.22goldMarket news interpretation:

Wednesday（6month22During the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading in1825美元附近，调查显示，多数经济学家认为，美联储可能会在7Monthly interest rate hike again75个基点，随后在9Monthly interest rate increase50个基点，最早要到11月才会回到25个基点的升息节奏。美元指数维持强势，并有重拾涨势的迹象，这令金价承压。欧洲央行、英国央行等其他多个央行官员均在不断强化进一步加息的预期，令黄金多头如鲠在喉，金价面临的下行风险逐步有所增加。本交易日重点关注美联储主席鲍威尔在参议院的半年度证词，可能会为进一步加息辩护。北京时间21:30鲍威尔将在参议院银行委员会就半年度货币政策报告做证词陈述，偏向鹰派的可能性比较大，偏向利空金价。

　　6.22黄金行情走势分析及操作建议：

　　黄金昨日震荡小幅回落收跌，长时间陷入横向窄幅震荡，美盘时段先反抽1843.3Under pressure on the first line, the tail end fell and closed at a low level1830Below, the space is still not moving much, but structurally it is still in the process of downward oscillation and decline. As the rebound strength weakens, the short line approaches the low point of the downward trajectory, but the rhythm is relatively slow and there is no obvious unilateral movement, presenting as a weak oscillation.4Hours have been trading sideways for two consecutive days this week without any signs of reaching a high, as they fell behind yesterday1830The low point indicates that the short term is unable to further touch the high and upward trend, but instead weakens and returns to the east after consolidation. Currently4The hour structure broke through the previous upward trend line of rebound, and the reverse weak trend fell back, reaching yesterday's high point1843.30To defend, let's take a look at the market today and see if it will fall. It is expected that the market will be weak and the white market will first lower.1小时图稍显钝化。伴随整理式的阴跌，但空间又没释放，长时间的横向整理，短线节奏依旧是震荡式的，方向处于下行，昨日探高回落收低后，短期会先行走弱。郭晟衫综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上郭晟衫建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1828-1823Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday（6month22日）亚欧时段，美原油大幅走弱，一度下跌近6%to103.20dollar/桶，原因是美国总统拜登推动降低飙升的燃预计成本，包括对美国主要公司施加压力，以帮助缓解该国夏季需求高峰期间司机的痛苦。一位了解计划的消息人士表示，在美国努力应对汽油价格飙升和通胀之际，美国总统拜登预计在周三呼吁暂停征收每加仑18.4美分的联邦汽油税。不过，俄乌局势依然紧张，仍需提防逢低买盘的支撑情况。

Technical analysis of crude oil: Yesterday's Little Yang Star of crude oilKLine sorting and leveling, with the highest rebound reaching111.16一线承压，尾盘相对还是收在了低位，今日开盘后开始走弱，日线经过两个交易日的整理修正，短线有进一步下行的迹象，整理后的转换走弱。4The rebound correction in the downward step of the hour, which hit the pressure on the Bulling Road mid track yesterday, although it did not lower in the end of the day, it began to decline at the beginning of today's trading, with signs of a downward break near the low point,4Looking back at the hour.1The extended wave in the downward wave of the hour chart, the previous high point of the step has not been recovered, and yesterday's rebound was also the last high point of the previous late rebound112.20下方承压。短线仍有下行风险，初步支撑在上周五低点106.40附近，如果失守该支撑，则可能会进一步跌向布林线下轨103.30附近，甚至是5month19Daily low point100.66附近。不过，油价连续两天在106.40附近获得支撑，55日均线支撑也在该位置附近，周一更是录得了十字星，需要提防油价重拾涨势的可能性，初步阻力在5Daily moving average111.09附近，布林线中轨阻力在112.53附近，若能顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期重点关注106.8-107.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below102.5-102.0Frontline support.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.