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Guide Metallographer:6.21今日黄金走势分析,黄金消息面及操作建议!

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  goldMessage interpretation:

  黄金价格上周整体依然保持震荡走势为主,尽管美联储加息了75个基点,但在市场基本消化的情况下,以及鲍威尔安抚了市场情绪,所以导致金价反而在后市出现了一定的反弹,只是空间还是受限,目前位于1850下方徘徊,不排除本周市场还需要进一步发酵,金价则继续保持震荡的节奏。

  指南金师现货黄金参考新闻:此前公布的美国CPI显示,美国5月的年通胀率高达8.6%,数据高出预期值和前值0.3个百分点,创40年来新高。美联储在本周为期两天的FOMC货币政策会议上采取了更为严厉的措施加息75个基点来对抗通胀,单次加息幅度创1994A new high since the beginning of the year.

  2022yearFOMC票委、圣路易斯联储主席布拉德就通胀和利率进行讨论。

  指南金师提别提醒:因为周一以及美国节假日的缘故,所以今天市场的基本面十分平淡,基本没有特别值得留意的数据公布,不过消息上还是需要关注夜晚美联储官员的讲话,观察是否有进一步透露加息方面的信号。

Technical analysis of gold:

  黄金上周受美联储利率决定的影响,表现震荡回弹,但又没有实际上涨动能,上方触及1857一线后有所承压回修,周五收得一阴线,依旧处在日线级别均线带之间震荡运行。日线结构上,黄金短线方向不是很明朗的状态,上周受基本面的影响反倒走势更显混乱,来回在日均线带之间反复争夺,导致整体走势结构更倾向于大区间的横盘震荡状态。如果这种横盘震荡延续时间加长,对于黄金整体结构而言反倒是很不利的,有扩大中长线下跌空间的可能性。而如果黄金要回升,基本面目前似乎又没有太过明确的支持,所以这也是困扰黄金走势的关键因素之一,中长线角度来看,黄金也就可能会更偏空一些。

  小时图上,上周五黄金震荡回修,短线行情形成小周期的下修通道,目前下行只运行了两波,预期日内或再有一波回撤调整的可能性,下方可关注1833-30、1826/25Short support test nearby, can be followed above1845Nearby short pressure, main pressure depends on1848-50一带压力测试,因周一美盘休市,交易相对会清淡一些,预期日内黄金震荡空间不会很大,大致看此区间内震荡运行即可,如果行情走出此区间,则再根据实际运行状态再做分析调整。周一黄金暂作区间内短线低多高空,预期在美盘休市的情况下,行情交投会清淡许多,故实际操作上也适度减少参与频率和仓位,以规避交投清淡带来的控盘风险。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方重点关注1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1820-1825Frontline support.

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