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goldMessage interpretation:
Monday(6month20day)，现货黄金承压，市场维持对美联储将加大鹰派力度的预期，美元指数在淡静的市场中回落调整并未给金市带来利好。美国恰逢六月节假期，市场流动性较往常稀薄。
鲍威尔国会作证面临艰巨任务
美联储主席鲍威尔将于本周三和周四分别在参议院和众议院作证。值得注意的是，鲍威尔将面临一项艰巨的任务：既要承认经济面临潜在衰退的困境，又要证明最近一次加息75个基点的合理性。
许多推动通胀的因素超出了美联储的控制范围，例如全球供应链混乱和俄罗斯入侵乌克兰，这推高了食品和能源价格。纽约联储公布的经济模型结果显示，美国经济硬着陆的可能性约为80%。(硬着陆定义：未来10年内有一个季度GDP至少收缩1%)
PIMCOeconomistAllison Boxer表示：“他们现在承认，对抗通胀——当它部分缘于供应驱动且美联储唯一的工具是冷却需求时——将以增长放缓为代价。”
一些投资者表示，在央行能够降低通胀之前，市场对利率没有任何确定性。他们表示，最好的前进方式可能是尽快达到中性利率——货币政策既不刺激也不限制经济的水平。
贝莱德全球固定收益首席投资管Rick Rieder表示：“在一个明显放缓的经济体中，我们见证了这种规模的加息，通胀将下降多少，之后的经济下行周期美联储需要降息多少，带来了极大的不确定性，市场可能需要一些时间来适应它。”
德意志银行的经济学家表示：“由于对通胀、经济衰退和/或地缘政治方面的担忧可能继续推动市场波动，我们认为黄金应该受到投资者需求的良好支撑。预计到2023year6月份，金价将触及2100US dollars. "
Technical analysis of gold:
黄金上周受美联储利率决定的影响，表现震荡回弹，但又没有实际上涨动能，上方触及1857一线后有所承压回修，周五收得一阴线，依旧处在日线级别均线带之间震荡运行。日线结构上，黄金短线方向不是很明朗的状态，上周受基本面的影响反倒走势更显混乱，来回在日均线带之间反复争夺，导致整体走势结构更倾向于大区间的横盘震荡状态。如果这种横盘震荡延续时间加长，对于黄金整体结构而言反倒是很不利的，有扩大中长线下跌空间的可能性。而如果黄金要回升，基本面目前似乎又没有太过明确的支持，所以这也是困扰黄金走势的关键因素之一，中长线角度来看，黄金也就可能会更偏空一些。
小时图上，上周五黄金震荡回修，短线行情形成小周期的下修通道，目前下行只运行了两波，预期日内或再有一波回撤调整的可能性，下方可关注1833-30、1826/25Short support test nearby, can be followed above1845Nearby short pressure, main pressure depends on1848-50一带压力测试，因周一美盘休市，交易相对会清淡一些，预期日内黄金震荡空间不会很大，大致看此区间内震荡运行即可，如果行情走出此区间，则再根据实际运行状态再做分析调整。周一黄金暂作区间内短线低多高空，预期在美盘休市的情况下，行情交投会清淡许多，故实际操作上也适度减少参与频率和仓位，以规避交投清淡带来的控盘风险。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1820-1825Frontline support.
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