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goldMessage interpretation:
周一亚市早盘,国际黄金价格在1835dollar/盎司附近企稳,上周五金价高位回落,因全球央行应对通胀决心加大,除美联储意外大幅加息75基点外,英国央行及瑞士央行纷纷跟进,瑞士央行更是直接加息50基点,全球央行加速货币收紧在资金流动的角度对黄金价格形成加大的压制,各国央行利率水平的提高,无形中降低了无息产品黄金的吸引力。但在主要的利空靴子落地后,黄金价格也陷入了震荡走势当中。
值得注意的是,今年以来全球通胀水平显著升温,虽然多国央行加速收缩货币政策,但全球通胀水平仍然居高不下,未见明显好转,本月公布的美国5monthCPI年率更是创40Annual high to8.6%,而英国预计未来几个月通胀将显著升高,并预计10月通胀率略高于11%水平。来自供给端的潜在通胀威胁,为今年的金价居高不下提供持续支撑。此外,今年以来的俄乌局势,给市场蒙上挥之不去的避险阴影,上周乌克兰首都基辅多次拉响警报,为黄金提供避险支撑,这也是黄金价格长期维持在1800dollar/盎司上方的原因之一。
今日市场消息面相对较为清淡,重点关注晚间美盘时段的欧洲央行行长拉加德讲话,此外,隔夜美联储布拉德将发表通胀及利率的观点,将为金价提供重要指引。假期方面,因美国六月节,黄金市场将会提前休市,投资者需做好相应准备,以防价格波动及假期带来的风险。
Technical analysis of gold:
Gold's recent interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve has also caused a significant roller coaster shock, and it is the first to explore1825Strong pull up after low position1878Then it rose and fell back to break through1825Starting point to1805Be able to stop the decline. It seems that gold is expected to fall below1800The benchmark continued to decline, but the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike led to a trend of buying expectations and selling facts, and bulls took the opportunity to return1860Near the checkpoint. The recent market rhythm has not been very regular, and the continuity of long and short positions is poor. It is in a period of ups and downs, and then it fell back to the end of the week under pressure1833low point. At present, the daily line is at a low level of volatility, and the Bollinger three tracks are running flat, with no clear direction for bullish and bearish positions. It can only be said to touch1805Welcome to a continuous positive rebound, representing1800There is a large amount of buying support near Daguan, and1850上方也呈现卖盘压力。而近期一直说的月线顶部一根冲高回落倒锤子线之后连收两阴,奠定了6If there is a bearish trend in the month, then this month's bearish trend will suppress the bullish rebound, which is a trend of rising and falling. The current situation is unclear, so please pay attention to it from above1850Close pressure, follow below1832Nearby support, this position is short-term1805—1813Upward trend line support point, if effectively below1830So the decline will continue further.
Golden Operation Strategy:1850Near empty, stop loss1855, Objective1842-1836
Golden Operation Strategy:1825Nearby, stop loss1819, Objective1832-1836
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