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Guide Metallographer:6.16今日黄金走势分析,金价触底反弹震荡走高

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  goldMessage interpretation:

  昨日周三,市场静待次日凌晨美联储的利率决议,而加息75个基点已经提前两个交易日消化影响了,白盘黄金白银震荡走高,直至延续攀升到美盘时段,美盘时段修正调整,次日凌晨美联储最终宣布加息后,价格短线下探至欧盘确定的支撑点1813位置,形成再度探底回升,扫荡式攀升冲刺1842,尾盘高位横盘调整修正。

  美元指数冲高受阻105.8区域的压力,跌回失守105关口转为压力,目前在此处下方位置。

  今日周四,市场需关注凌晨美联储加息75个基点落地后的持续影响,由于大幅度加息的利空影响已经在周一周二提前消化,在最终消息公布之时,整体市场呈现买预期卖实际的行情走势(也就是利空出尽变利多),今日继续关注这个消息对于市场的影响,同时留意当周初请失业金数据。

  凌晨美联储主席鲍威尔的谈话中也是围绕着着三个任务进行:加息,大幅度加息的最终目的是为了抑制通胀,促进就业,经济复苏,所以后续继续关注这三方面的经济数据情况。

Technical analysis of gold:

  黄金目前的走势很简单,多,无论是技术面还是消息面落地之后,都是转多看涨黄金,技术面来说,黄金在加息会议落地之后,自低位1813附近直接拉升至1842,目前的支撑位置和分界位置已经出现就是在1813位置一线,同时由于近期黄金单边下跌走势,行情有修复的需求,指标背离,偏向多头走势,黄金的4小时仍处于周期性的宽幅拉锯震荡,实质性的区间未有效突破,伴随着来回拉锯的洗盘。技术面结构钝化。消息面因素使得短期拉锯反复,整体结构上还是倾向于向下。只是过程缓慢迂回。随着此前的探高回落去测试低点,短线可能还会伴随反复的探高回落蓄势去破低点。

  目前黄金价格重新回到布林道中轨附近,中性位置震荡,上轨阻力在1860-1876  The lower rail is1786,宽幅区间内等待突破。短期暂时难走出单边,操作上以超短线卡点应对,亚盘区间待定,把操作时间点放到欧美盘之后,适当走出空间再来决定日内区间。是先上后下还是先下后上。结合形态来定,短线操作方面,我建议激进的可以现价直接先去做空黄金,先看一个修复的走势,然后关注1813支撑情况再去反手布局多单操作,稳健的等待欧盘形态走出来再去决定进场操作的时机,黄金几个走法,一个就是直接突破昨天晚间的高点,那么回踩做多,二是下跌回踩,那么依托支撑位置做多,三是破位支撑,则反弹去做空。综合来看,今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹做空为主,回踩做多为辅,上方短期关注1840-1845Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1805-1810Frontline support.

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