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goldMessage interpretation:
毫无疑问在美联储利率决议公布之前,黄金价格还会持续受压,所以昨日也是继续保持震荡偏弱的节奏为主,上周的通胀数据基本奠定美联储还要加快升息的步伐,美元也因此成功突破了105的大关,这是近20多年来的高位,因此金价的走势必然会承压,唯一的悬念是在于今晚的结果出炉后,是否有反弹行情的可能。
指南金师现货黄金参考新闻:美联储官员目前处于静默期,无法对政策前景公开发表评论,通过媒体报道引导改变市场预期的做法不同寻常。市场参与者认为,经济前景变化,包括通胀远超2%目标且尚未见顶,或促使美联储官员考虑这样做。
Focus on spot gold market today:
United States5月进口物价指数月率;
United States5月零售销售月率;
Federal ReserveFOMC公布利率决议、政策声明及经济预期;
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell held a press conference on monetary policy.
指南金师提别提醒:毫无疑问今日市场将迎来重中之重,那就是美联储利率决议的召开,这对于整个汇市市场都有重大影响,黄金价格的命运也备受牵连,因为目前市场已经预期要加息75个基点,而且后续还有鲍威尔的新闻发布会需要结合。
Technical analysis of gold:
金价昨日技术面如期迎来冲高回落走跌,亚欧盘价格快速下探刺破1807关口创出阶段低点后反弹回升,午后一度向上反弹冲高刺破1831一线承压再度走跌,欧美盘价格慢跌下行至1819关口附近再度迎来加速下行破底,最终凌晨收盘于1807一线几乎最低点收盘,由于对美联储将以较预期更大幅度加息的预期不断升温。美元强势上扬,令金价承压,黄金回落击穿前一日的低点并收在之下。日线收成一根中阴K线。日线双连阴落收低。同时顶开了下轨。昨日亚盘时段受到布林道下轨支撑先走反弹,尾盘承压回落收低,隔日开盘在低位,日线双阴有延续。目前K线形态走弱。昨日盘中在1829一带做空看破1810低点,今日进一步看延续。4小时此前高位回落吐形成一浪下行,昨日反弹1831.80受阻后继续走二浪下行延续,目前空间上还有进一步释放,从一浪的下行空间来看,目前二浪空间还没展开。只是破低之后的确认延续,空间还有进一步的扩大。预计会到1800之下,留意之前的低点处1786。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方重点关注1831-1836Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1808-1803Frontline support.
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