Guide Metallographer:6.14今日黄金走势分析，黄金大跌，今日看反弹...

　　goldMessage interpretation:

　　上周五公布了美国5monthCPI数据，结果显示通胀再创近40年高点，具体数据显示，美国5monthCPIAnnual rate recorded8.6%，高于预期值和前值0.3个百分点，全球金融市场崩塌，推动黄金避险情绪升温，当日大涨近50美金，然而涨势并未延续，隔夜因市场担忧美国可能会激进加息，金价由上涨趋势转变为跌势，隔日大跌近68dollar.

　　根据市场调查显示，因上周美国CPI意外再创1981year12月以来新高，市场预计美联储6Monthly interest rate increase at least50The probability of a basis point is100%Interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point is28.2%，7Monthly interest rate increase at least50The probability of a basis point is100%Interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point is43.4%。部分机构表示不排除加息100个基点，理由是无论是通胀还是美国经济，都没有发出足够明确的放缓信号，来阻止美联储在接下来的几次会议上加息50个基点或更多，受此影响，隔夜全球所有风险资金大跌。

　　本周四即将公布美联储利率决议，同时美联储主席鲍威尔召开货币政策新闻发布会，建议密切关注加息的动向以及对未来加息的态度，如果持续如预期释放加息强劲态度，全球风险市场可能还会受到重挫。

Technical analysis of gold:

Yesterday's bearish candlestick for gold fell and closed lower, taking back all the upward momentum from last Friday and setting a new low1809.16dollar/盎司。来回过山车式的大幅度拉锯，加剧了短期洗盘的频率，单边延续性不强，来回反复迂回。随着日线的收低，短线重新回归弱势区间内运行。日线从布林带上轨直接摔到下轨收盘，阴吞阳的KLine structure, however, the Asian market still has some support at the lower track. Pay attention to whether the European market can weaken again after the rebound correction of the Asian market.4The hour chart has broken through the lower track under pressure from the upper track of the recent oscillation range. Yesterday, it was also emphasized that the European market will not break through at the upper track. In the short term, it is important to guard against a roller coaster style decline, while the weak turn in the European market has continued downward until the US market, laying the foundation for yesterday's weakness,4The hour's continuous Yin style retreat,K线形态偏下跌，均线指标依旧凌乱发散，在利率决议前。预计短线还是震荡为主，震荡为前，趋势为后，点位比方向关键。考虑到日线下轨的支撑，亚盘不急于追空，待欧盘反弹修正后再择机操作。

　　小时图上，受昨日暴跌影响，今日开盘后行情即出现一波再回落，跌至1810附近后回弹，目前回弹至隔夜首个回撤低点1825-23区域，短线市场消极情绪得到一定的缓和，但并不意味着行情就此反转回升，目前反转几乎是不可能的，有回升也仅仅只是技术性的超跌反弹，日内上方着重关注隔夜回弹高点1828-33一带压力测试，而主要的技术压力则关注此前高低点密集位1840区域。经过我们这么分析，也许你就是心里有底，所以技术基本面无论那个方面看都是坚持做空。交易不要刻意计较一日一时的胜率，只要你还在交易，那么就是一直保持好的心态，错了敬畏市场，对了继续努力，市场预期加息缩表幅度超预期，如果加息缩表超预期，那么黄金依然上演新一轮下跌走势不变。趋势没有反转，你还是顺势反弹做空就好。大涨大空，小涨下空，破位下跌反弹追空。激进亚盘也可先短多看个反弹。日内思路暂定先反弹后下跌。综合来看，今日黄金操作思路指南金师建议反弹做空为主，上方关注1835-1840Resistance, pay attention below1810-1815Support.

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