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6.14goldTrend analysis:
昨天现货黄金震荡下探,一度刷新5month20Since the low point of the day1809.16dollar/盎司,因市场预计通胀高企将促使美联储激进加息,本周大概率会加息50Basis points, and even some institutions expect to raise interest rates75Basis points, which helped the US dollar soar significantly on Monday, hitting a record high2002New high since the beginning of the year105.29。在对全球经济放缓的担忧和对美联储大幅加息押注的支持下,美元指数触及数十年高位,成为首选避险工具,黄金因此成为牺牲品。
技术面看,黄金日线下降趋势运行,但目前处于超跌反弹局面,昨日的大阴线直接打破了常规震荡,一根大阴线下穿BOLL三轨,KD指标死叉向下运行,中期走势略微偏空头;小时图倒V型反转下行,当前处于超跌反弹局面,预计短期经过反弹修正继续下跌的概率较大。
短线操作建议:
1,1818Long, stop loss1814, Objective1825-1832。
2,1832Short selling, stop loss1838, Objective1822-1810,下破继续持有。
6.14crude oilTrend analysis:
目前一方面供应依旧紧张,俄原油供应全面受限,欧佩克增仓不及预期,伊朗谈判搁置,利比亚目前产量也无法有效回升,虽然美国能源署一直抛储,但是治标不治本,症结还在俄乌冲突问题之上,俄目前顶着巨大压力,但是依旧没有放手的意思,同时因为能源价格高企,全球通胀压力加剧,不排除会有新的改善油价的方式出现,所以市场对待高油价也是处于谨慎状态,技术面上短期反复过山车走势,下方在117.5-118一线形成强支撑,多次回踩之后快速反抽,上方在122.5-123一线依旧是高点强压带,操作上短期继续保持高抛低吸思路对待,不过分看好多空力度。
短期操作建议:
Crude oil reverse extraction121.6-121.8Nearby air, defense123Look119.5-118Nearby, step back118-117.8Many lines, broken117离场,看120-121frontline.
Wen/Ding Sheng Jin Shi, Contributor, Interpreting World Economic Highlights by Myself,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Dingsheng Jinshi Online Solution Set,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.!
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