Guide Metallographer:6.13今日黄金走势分析，黄金持续下跌再回震荡

　　goldMessage interpretation:

　　上周五，美国公布的5月份消费价格指数再度刷新了四十多年来的新高，刺激美元和美债收益率攀升，金价一度大跌逾20美元，触及5month19The lowest in recent days1824.88美元，但随后在剧烈的波动中收复CPI数据公布后的全部失地，并刷新日高至1875.93美元，最终收盘在1871.51美元，升幅达1.27%。

　　美国劳工部周五公布的数据显示，美国5monthCPI较去年同期增长8.6%。广受关注的通胀指标较上月上升1%，超市场预期。住宿、食物和汽油是最大的贡献项。剔除波动性较大的食品和能源成分的核心CPIUp from last month0.6%, up from the same period last year6%，也高于预期。在通胀数据高于预期之后，交易员加大了对美联储加息的押注。互换合约显示市场预期美联储在6Month7Month and9月政策会议上每次都加息50基点，并且存在着9Monthly interest rate increase75基点的一些可能性。短期美国国债收益率飙升至2018year11月以来的最高水平，引发收益率曲线崩溃。两年期国债收益率一度上涨12Bps to2.93%, for2018The highest level since the beginning of the year.10Yields of one-year treasury bond bonds rose4Bps to3.08%。2Period and10年期国债收益率之差缩小至仅11.2个基点。这是数据公布出来初初之时黄金急速下跌的主要推手。然而，市场随之很快将注意力转到了经济风险上来。有分析认为美联储在通胀问题上的可信度正在下降，他们将不得不让美国经济陷入衰退的可能性正在增加。美国国债收益率曲线可能只需要几天就会出现反转。一些分析师也指出，随着美联储的鹰派立场已经达到顶峰，这可能导致美元失去动能，从而缓解黄金面临的重大阻力。过去几天foreign exchange市场的走势主要是受美元在下周美联储会议前走强的影响，美联储会议结束后可能会出现‘买谣言卖事实’式的调整。。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金上周五下探回升收高，最低回测1824.30一线启稳，尾盘冲高至1860上方，且收在高位。周线收盘一根中阳线，日线则是大阳线，由于欧元区的下挫，黄金与美元短线局部同涨。技术结构上进入拉锯震荡当中。区间没有实质性的突破，只是拉锯的幅度略大。过山车式的拉锯，延续性是个问题。4小时低位单是拉升之后，均线指标依旧凌乱发散，这种短暂的快上升，并不是趋势性的突破，而决定因素在隔日的延续，今日若能进一步走高，短线才有望走强，反之今日回吐，则又要回归拉锯震荡，目前在下行趋势线以及270单位均线处还是有所压制，短期走不出单边。还会在此位1880一带受阻震荡。不排除有过山车式回吐行情。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1878-1883Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1853-1848Frontline support.

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