Guide Metallographer:6.13今日黄金走势分析，黄金拉升有望延续上涨

　　goldMessage interpretation:

　　上周五晚间，公布了美5monthCPIdataCPI年率公布值8.6%, creating1981year12月以来新高，高于预期值和前值0.3Percentage points;5Monthly CoreCPIyear6%，尽管低于前值6.20%，但高于预期值0.1个百分点。随着5月份通胀创40年新高，市场提高了对美联储接下来加息幅度的预测，美元指数大幅飙升，美股重挫，标普500指数跌近3%。在通胀数据公布后，黄金价格盘中跌至1825美元附近，但随着市场评估数据对经济的影响，黄金价格快速大幅回升逾50美元，市场仍在评估美CPI上涨超预期对未来美联储政策与经济的影响。

　　从长远来看，黄金仍将面临高通胀和美联储政策之间的博弈。顽固通胀正在推动对美联储将需要更积极加息以缓解价格压力的押注，市场认为更大幅度加息的可能性增加，预计政策利率到年底将达到3%. Considering that5月份超出市场预期的通胀数据，不排除美联储采取更加激进的紧缩政策，比如在下周利率决议中一次性加息75个基点或者向市场透露未来缩表进度的提速。尽管黄金一般被视作抵御通货膨胀的工具之一，通胀持续走高，增加了黄金的吸引力，但通胀高企也提升美联储激进加息的预期，在一定程度上给予黄金压力。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金从技术面来看，黄金上周五下探回升收高，最低回测1824.30一线启稳，尾盘冲高至1860上方，且收在高位。周线收盘一根中阳线，日线则是大阳线，由于欧元区的下挫，黄金与美元短线局部同涨。技术结构上进入拉锯震荡当中。区间没有实质性的突破，只是拉锯的幅度略大。过山车式的拉锯，延续性是个问题。4小时低位单是拉升之后，均线指标依旧凌乱发散，这种短暂的快上升，并不是趋势性的突破，而决定因素在隔日的延续，今日若能进一步走高，短线才有望走强，反之今日回吐，则又要回归拉锯震荡，目前在下行趋势线以及270单位均线处还是有所压制，短期走不出单边。还会在此位1880-1883一带受阻震荡。不排除有过山车式回吐行情。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1875-1880Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1850-1845Frontline support.

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