Yu Yue on Jin:6.10黑天鹅来袭行情就是豪横，一口气上涨20individual...

　goldLatest market analysis:



　　黄金消息面解析：昨日（6month9日）周四， 黄金整体走势震荡回落收低，维持在前一日高点1859之下承压整理，美元强势走高，打压金价回吐，重新回到1850下方震荡，最低至1839.本周的区间整体偏小，窄幅横向整理当中。随着日线的收低，短线相对偏弱一些，但持续性仍是一个问题。多空强弱延续不定。消息方面：市场担忧晚间将出炉的美国CPI数据将加强美联储激进加息的可能性，美债收益率持续上涨并坚守在3%上方，增加持有黄金的机会成本，4小时维持在布林道上下轨之间震荡，此前在上轨处承压昨日回落至下轨，刷新了本周的低点，但延续性仍不足，目前布林道仍是收口当中，不过美元持走强，一定程度仍压制了金价的反弹空间，短线相对偏弱一些，1小时图稍钝化。



Technical analysis of gold: In terms of the current trend of gold, do not overly bear the market: should it rise or not, If it should fall, it will not fall. When the daily line is continuously positive, it does not break through the upward trend, but when it turns negative, it may not necessarily continue to fall. Starting from the rebound, the daily line is at its maximum continuously negative, but after the cross, it is single negative, and after the large negative, it is not significant. Therefore, in this form, do not rush to bear, or resist the trend of falling and washing the market. That is to say, the mentality is much lower. Once the daily line is defined as not bearish, when looking at the rebound, it is necessary to pay attention, Look, the watershed must be a low point1839Set a stop loss position, which is the lowest point last night, and the current gold price cannot break through within the day, If it breaks a low point in the day, it will definitely be bearish. Therefore, this is considered a stop loss level and also a point that relies on being bullish. The earlier a rally occurs, the stronger the strength will be. If the European market can break through yesterday's high point today1853So the probability of an upward trend in the US market is high. If it continues to be suppressed during the day, it is difficult to say whether the US market is long or short, and the high probability will become a volatile trend. After all, today is also the end of Friday.



　　所以今天做多也最好是在日内执行。博欧盘上升走势，按照当前的形态，以1839作为支撑位置，那么进场位置较为宽泛，以6美金作为止损的话，那么进场位置就可以放在，1846之下即可，继续看上涨突破，如果稳点操作的话，就是日内观望，继续是等日内欧盘上升后，美盘等回踩之后再去做跟随。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路建议以以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1845-1850Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1820-1815Frontline support.



　　crude oilLatest market analysis:



Analysis of crude oil news: Friday（6month10During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting121.24dollar/桶；油价周四小幅下跌，疫情担忧情绪再起，美股下跌拖累油价，但伊核协议重启希望日渐渺茫，限制了油价跌幅。美国夏季汽油需求高峰期继续推动原油价格。美国和其他国家已经进行了一系列战略石油储备释放，但到目前为止效果有限，全球原油产量增长非常缓慢。美国财政部长耶伦周四表示，她认为美国经济不会出现衰退，但汽油价格不太可能很快回落。总体来看，美股下跌，疫情在全球蔓延，美国航空公司削减航班，需求担忧情绪再起，拖累油价走低；但地缘紧张局势持续，加之伊核协议重启希望日渐渺茫，油价跌幅或有限；临近周末，关注伊朗与国际核监察机构关系进一步进展。日内重点关注美国5monthCPI年率未季调、美国6月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值、周六1：00Announce US as of6month10日当周全美钻井总数(mouth)，3:30公布美国商品futuresTrading Committee（CFTC）公布周度持仓报告。



　　原油技术面分析：油价进入十元时代悬念不大，而原油上涨带来的通胀才是最难平的，价格一旦形成共识，短时间即便是有海量库存流入市场，也很难填平资本的欲望，所以不要期待原油在当下回撤，在没有完全的打爆和打慌空头之前，就是慢涨，涨到你受不了的时候暴涨，踢爆空头，形成多头的恐慌，才能遏制价格的上升。



The current situation of crude oil4Hour, Little YinKLine back stepping correction, YinKThe line entity is small and can only be considered as a correction for the time being, rather than a reversal weakening. The current space is a normal stepping area, andKThe physical size of the line is small, and it can be quickly retracted. The low point of the lower step supports it117.20.This position is not lost, but there is still more short-term volatility, and the moving average indicator is also forming support and upward. The Asia Europe market is expected to continue yesterday's horizontal consolidation and correction, and pay attention to whether the US market can strengthen and then close higher, to determine the key to the continuation of short-term strength. After the operation time is stuck in the European disk, it is much shorter to start steadily and then select the machine. Overall, it is recommended to focus on the short-term operation of crude oil today, with a pullback to lower levels as the main approach and a rebound to higher levels as a supplement. The short-term focus above should be on123.5-124.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below120.7-120.2Frontline support.