Guide Metallographer:6.10今日黄金走势分析，国际金价续跌

　　goldMessage interpretation:

Friday(6month10day)，国际金价续跌，因美债收益率上涨，提高了非孳息资产黄金的持有成本。投资者正等待即将公布的美国通胀数据。有机构认为，美国经济正处于四股逆流的交汇点。　　

Friday Beijing Time20:30The United States will announce5月通胀数据。市场预计，美国5月整体与核心CPI料分别同比上涨8.3%and5.9%。市场认为，面对如此大的价格上行压力，美联储需要维持激进的量化紧缩措施。

　　调查显示，美联储将在6Month and7月延续5月加息节奏——继续各加息50Basis points.9月继续采取类似举措的可能性也增加，且美联储本轮加息周期将持续到明年。

　　SPI Asset Management管理合伙人Stephen Innes表示：“在今晚美国CPI关键数据公布之前，本周市场处于盘整模式。数据可能会对美联储9月以后政策走向产生重大影响。”

　　Morningstar首席美国市场策略师David Sekera表示：“目前，我们正处于四股逆流的交汇点——美国经济增长放缓、美联储收紧货币政策、利率上升和炽热的通胀。”

　　澳新银行研究部在一份报告中称：“美联储鹰派姿态、实际利率上升和美元走强使黄金市场黯然失色，极度宽松的财政和货币政策逐渐退出舞台对市场情绪构成压力。”

　　根据芝加哥商业交易所集团最新数据，周四黄金futures市场未平仓合约重新下降，减少约0.25万份合约。另一方面，成交量连续第三日增长，此次增长近1万份合约。金价跌至1840美元区域后未平仓合约萎缩，暗示金价进一步上涨的机率似乎不大，暂时将继续盘整。

　　FXStreetSenior AnalystJoseph Trevisani表示：尽管美联储至少在未来两次会议上的政策不会受到5Month or6monthCPI数据的影响，但市场仍有相当大的空间根据与预期的偏差做出反应。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金昨日震荡回落收低，维持在前一日高点1859之下承压整理，美元强势走高，打压金价回吐，重新回到1850下方震荡，最低至1839.本周的区间整体偏小，窄幅横向整理当中。随着日线的收低，短线相对偏弱一些，但持续性仍是一个问题。多空强弱延续不定。消息方面：市场担忧晚间将出炉的美国CPI数据将加强美联储激进加息的可能性，美债收益率持续上涨并坚守在3%上方，增加持有黄金的机会成本。

　　4小时维持在布林道上下轨之间震荡，此前在上轨处承压昨日回落至下轨，刷新了本周的低点，但延续性仍不足，目前布林道仍是收口当中，不过美元持走强，一定程度仍压制了金价的反弹空间，短线相对偏弱一些，日内短线操作依托1860做防守先行短空，布林道上轨处是阻力，下方空间边走边看，结合形态来定空间。1小时图稍钝化。均线指标凌乱发散，不过昨日收低之后，短线偏弱，在周中高点1860之下先行看回落，阻力在1850-1853间择机短空。

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