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Guide Metallographer:6.10今日黄金走势分析,小心金价破位下跌行情!

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  goldMessage interpretation:

  昨日,美元指数大涨至近三周高位令黄金价格承压,市场担忧晚间将出炉的美国CPI数据将加强美联储激进加息的可能性,美债收益率持续上涨并坚守在3%上方,增加持有黄金的机会成本。同时,欧洲央行宣布将结束一项长期刺激计划,并表示将在7Monthly progress2011年以来的首次加息,然后在9月可能会有更大动作。欧洲央行表示,将在7month1日结束量化宽松,然后在7month21日将利率提高25Basis points.9month8日将再次加息,且幅度可能更大,除非通胀前景在此期间有所改善。

  今晚即将公布美5月通胀数据,市场预计,美5月整体与核心CPI料分别同比上涨8.3%and5.9%。美联储激进加息前景很难动摇,6Month and7月料延续5月加息节奏,继续各加息50个基点。根据目前的预测,美通胀可能在很长一段时间内高于美联储的2%目标,通胀预期存在脱锚的风险,要缓解商品和劳动力供给紧张的状况,可能需要更大幅度地提高利率,但会让经济面临硬着陆风险。

Technical analysis of gold:

  黄金昨日震荡回落收低,维持在前一日高点1859之下承压整理,美元强势走高,打压金价回吐,重新回到1850下方震荡,最低至1839.本周的区间整体偏小,窄幅横向整理当中。随着日线的收低,短线相对偏弱一些,但持续性仍是一个问题。多空强弱延续不定。4小时维持在布林道上下轨之间震荡,此前在上轨处承压昨日回落至下轨,刷新了本周的低点,但延续性仍不足,目前布林道仍是收口当中,不过美元持走强,一定程度仍压制了金价的反弹空间,短线相对偏弱一些,日内短线操作依托1860做防守先行短空,布林道上轨处是阻力,下方空间边走边看,结合形态来定空间。1小时图稍钝化。均线指标凌乱发散,不过昨日收低之后,短线偏弱,综上所述总结:所以今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方短期关注1858-1863Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1835-1830Frontline support.

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