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　　goldMessage surface:

Thursday(6month9day)，国际金价承压，受制于美债收益率上升，降低了非孳息黄金的吸引力。投资者在美国通胀数据公布前保持谨慎，该数据料影响美联储加息路径。

United States5月通胀数据将在周五(6month10day)公布。市场预计，美国5月整体与核心CPI料分别同比上涨8.3%and5.9%。美联储激进加息前景很难动摇。美联储6Month and7月料延续5月加息节奏，继续各加息50Basis points.

　　美国白宫新闻秘书皮埃尔周三(6month8day)对记者表示：“我们预计总体通胀数字将上升，乌克兰战争将对核心通胀产生一些影响，特别是当你看到机票和航空燃料成本上涨的影响时。”

　　美国财政部长耶伦周三连续第二天就通胀问题接受议员质询。她表示，高于8%的读数对美国来说是“不可接受的”，但认为拜登政府此前推行的大规模抗疫财政刺激对通胀上行贡献只是“适度的”。

　　国际货币基金组织第一副总裁戈皮纳特周三表示，根据目前的预测，美国通胀可能在很长一段时间内高于美联储的2%目标，通胀预期存在“脱锚”的风险。要缓解商品和劳动力供给紧张的状况，可能需要更大幅度地提高利率，但会让经济面临硬着陆风险。

　　本周初，世界银行行长马尔帕斯(David Malpass)警告称，若央行实施快于预期的紧缩政策，可能会使一些国家陷入类似于1980年代的债务危机。

　　企业咨询公司AirGuideSupervisorMichael Langford表示：“目前市场充满不确定性，金价短期维持区间震荡格局。但4月份以来，金价下行趋势明显……几乎没有什么催化剂可以让金价向上突破，未来几个月整体下行趋势更有可能持续。”

Gold trend analysis:

　　黄金从日线上来看，黄金昨日下探回升，日线收成阳线十字星，双阴再转阳后，金价几乎收复了前期阴KThe downward space of the line forms a repeated tug of war,K线形态则是阴阳互换当中。暂时没有明显的单边，也或许是单边力度不足，进入拉锯震荡周期。四小时级别上看，黄金探底回升，下方回撤至1845附近止跌反弹，上方又在1860一线有争夺，目前短线结构重心还是略有抬升的，今日下方1845/44附近依旧可能会是关键支撑，上方则关注1857-60短压带测试，如果今日美指延续回调，则黄金上方还有进一步回弹可能，上方压力重点在1863一带测试，突破后将再次挑战0.382黄金分割位也就是1870附近。综上所述指南金师总结：黄金整体运行在区间徘徊，因为前期冲高遇阻，金价一直处于偏空运行中，多头虽有反弹但是力道不够，今日延续高空为主，低多为辅，上方关注1860-1865USD resistance, follow below1845-1838美元支撑，破位下看空头延续。

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