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　　goldMessage surface:

　　今日亚洲开盘黄金价格窄幅震荡于1850关口附近，因为在美国通胀数据公布之前，对经济增长的担忧提振了黄金的避险吸引力，而美国通胀数据可能为美联储的加息时间表提供指引，多头仍有所顾忌。美债收益率回升至3%上方，也对金价形成压制。今日关注欧洲央行利率决议和美国初请失业金人数的变化。

　　随着食品和能源价格上涨拖累经济活动，国际组织相继对全球经济健康状况拉响警报。世界银行周二将其2022年经济增长预期下调近三分之一，并警告称滞胀风险上升，这为避险黄金提供了一些支撑。经合组织是最近一个下调增长预期的组织。经合组织在周三发布的最新报告中说，预计今年全球GDPWill grow3%，低于此前预测的4.5%；与此同时，预计2023年经济将增长2.75%。经合组织表示，通货膨胀仍然是全球经济的最大威胁。尽管对通胀的担忧仍主导着全球金融市场，但作为一种传统的通胀对冲手段，黄金市场并没有出现很多新的兴趣。过去三周，金价一直在1850美元上下整固。金价近期表现疲弱，是因为全球各国央行都在寻求收紧利率，以试图降温炙热的通胀压力。虽然黄金被认为是对冲通胀和政治经济不确定性的工具，但利率上升会增加持有这种非收益资产的机会成本。本周的两个关键事件即将出炉：欧洲央行周四将召开例行货币政策会议，预计该央行将在会上制定收紧货币政策的计划。美国5Monthly consumer price index(CPI)将于周五公布，若数据继续维持高增长，则加大市场对于美联储继续强力推进加息节奏的预期。短期内这样的宏观面恐将继续对黄金构成不利。

Gold trend analysis:

　　黄金续周二上涨后，周三继续上涨，最大一波力度在美盘，先跌后涨从1844开始走高至1860，有16美金空间，不过午夜再次走出回落，形成完全体的震荡走势，日线在周三收十字星，跟周二对比，没有那么强势，那么，周四黄金或还是震荡表现，难以走出破位性行情。

　　首先，从技术面出发，日线周二，周三连阳，站稳在布林中轨之上，日线表现强势，理论上日线还有上涨空间，去布林上轨1872附近，但至于能不能走出还需要看市场表现，暂时1862压制较强，小周期区间收口需要关注弱势转换和压制点得失情况，因此，日内整体还是震荡看涨，上方可见1862，1872。

　　H4周期收口表现更加紧密，暂时可见区间在1860/1840，小时线强支撑在1848，所以日内操作上指南金师建议做震荡区间的交易，关注高空低多关键点即可，上方看1860得失，下方关注1848，1840得失。美盘之前不用在乎方向，只要触及支撑和压制点不破则可交易。今天周四，美盘可能有一波破位性力度，注意变盘对暂时形态的改变，欧盘末期盘面或有所表现，注意看实时行情的变化。

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