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　　goldMessage surface:

　　黄金价格周二(6month7day)上涨，因投资者担心主要央行积极收紧政策对经济的影响，不过涨幅有限，因美国国债收益率上升支撑美元。

United States4月份的贸易逆差创下了历史之最，反映出在中国封锁的情况下，进口额下降，而出口额攀升。

　　美国商务部周二的数据显示，美国4Monthly trade deficit narrowing206100 million US dollars to871100 million US dollars, a decrease of19.1%，创下有纪录以来的最大降幅。彭博社对经济学家的调查显示，中值估计为减少至895亿美元。这些数字仍未经过通货膨胀的调整。经通胀调整后，4月份商品贸易逆差收窄14.2%, to1162USD100mn

United States4月份进口量下降，因为中国的工厂活动下降到了2020year2月以来的最低水平。虽然此后中国的制造生产有所改善，但疫情封锁措施致使本已脆弱的全球供应链变得紧张。

　　几十年来的高通胀率预计将拖累今年的贸易，世界贸易组织削减了其对全球商品量增长的预测。不过到目前为止，在美国，从4月份抵达洛杉矶和长滩港口的货物数量接近创纪录的情况来看，这种情况还没有在美国出现。

　　在第一季度，贸易逆差的扩大在很大程度上解释了美国经济自从疫情中复苏以来最糟糕的表现，这是因为美国企业和消费者从海外购买的产品价值超过了其他经济体购买的美国商品和服务。

Gold trend analysis:

　　黄金日线下降趋势运行，但目前处于超跌反弹局面，整体进入区间震荡，最近几日以来阴阳交替，技术指标中性运行，中期走势比较胶着；小时图下降管道运行，目前处于超跌反弹局面，短期行情继续向下调整的概率较大。黄金已经在1830-1870区域内维持了长时间的震荡，盘久必跌！而且当前的黄金是属于大跌后的调整走势，横盘整理，上涨力度不足！而且下周四是美联储议息会议，加息的预期下黄金多头不会轻举妄动，要涨也是数据后！

　　4小时上看，黄金昨日的反弹看似强势，但依旧是处于1853的均线压力之下，也就是我们此前所说的，现在的反弹是对此前破位后的反抽确认，压力位置下还是跌势！4The hour chart was previously displayed in the1858承压后延续了二浪下探，但持续性力度不足，短线迂回反复，基本上是一个二次浪形就会结束一个小型波段，同时释放二浪后就会拉回震荡，昨日也没走出震荡区间，均线指标凌乱发散，短期还将继续震荡。今日具体操作策略：反弹上方1855-1857Nearby empty orders enter, target1847-1849Nearby, stop loss5个点。回调下方1840-1842Multiple entry nearby, target1850Nearby, stop loss5Points.

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