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  昨日,黄金价格小幅走低,市场普遍预期美通胀数据可能强化美联储大幅升息的理由,美元和美债收益率震荡走高,延续上周五的反弹,同时市场对美经济衰退的预期降温,也略微打压避险需求。不过,美国10年轻国债收益率创近四周新高,令美元承压明显。本周的焦点周五即将公布的美消费者价格指数,该数据将有助于判断通胀是否已经见顶,尽管黄金被认为是对冲通胀的工具,但为缓和不断上升的物价压力而加息,在一定程度上削弱了黄金的吸引力。

Due to6Month and7月几乎可以肯定加息0.5个百分点,美联储官员正在将关注点从加息目标转移到更难以确定和解释的事情上:他们的政策对经济的更广泛影响。加息对经济的影响也将逐渐显现,年内美联储货币政策有望前紧后松,但流动性收缩将逐渐推动资金优化配置,并增强市场对持有美元的偏好。金融市场状况是评判经济前景的重要指南,但美联储为抗击通胀需要多大程度上收紧货币政策并没有确切衡量标准,在这种不确定环境下,黄金依然会受到青睐。

Gold trend analysis:

Gold continued its decline and closed lower yesterday, with the highest rebound1858The front line is under pressure, because the yield of the US dollar and US treasury bond bonds rose. Gold suffered setbacks and fell, with the daily chart closing lower in consecutive negative sessions, continuing the downward pressure from last Friday. At the same time, it closed at a low level and continued to decline at the beginning of today's trading. From a daily perspective, the previous rebound was still a correction in the downward trend. After the correction, it closed at a low level and then turned weak again. Currently, the daily line is once again close to the annual line position. After the previous downward trend, it quickly rebounded and corrected. Currently, the medium-term moving average has been pulled downward and turned downward. Overall, it is still in a downward trend.4The hourly roller coaster retracement takes back all the previous upward momentum, and today it will once again approach last week's low point1828.This lost position will lead to1800关口回落靠近,目前经过上周五的冲高回落,带动指标拐头向下,而昨日延续回落后,已回吐近半空间,今日再逼近则有望失守向下延续回落,目前连阴式的震荡下跌也显示短线相对偏弱一些。综合来看,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议还是以反弹高空为主,回踩低多为辅,上方短期关注1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1825Frontline support.

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