Guo Shengshan:6.7Today's gold trend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

Monday(6month6day)，黄金小幅下跌，美元小幅上涨，因投资者关注美国通胀数据和央行会议，以了解加息路径。美市盘中，现货金下跌0.4%, to1841.66美元低点，较日高下跌16美元。此前有数据显示，美国5月份非农就业人数超过预期。美联储预计将在6Month and7月的政策会议上加息0.5个基点，对黄金而言，乐观的就业数据意味着美联储可以继续积极推进6Month and7Monthly interest rate increase50个基点的计划。市场认为美联储不会采取如此激进的措施可能有些为时过早。如果数据在很长一段时间内保持坚挺，工资水平继续保持强劲，通货膨胀也非常顽固，将会迫使美联储在量化紧缩(QT)和利率上保持强硬路线，以不断飙涨的通胀水平。与此同时，经济没有迅速走软，这打消了人们对避险资产的需求。也就是说，短期内美联储的激进立场仍是对黄金构成下行风险的主要影响因素。

　　4小时周期局部酝酿大阴线且构筑下降三法形态，后市整体看下行；1Hour cycle local to1858附近录得再次录得圆顶形态看下行，后续收阴下行破位前低1843，午夜大概率仍将延续跌势；1小时周期整体构筑头肩顶形态，且右肩1856目前为虚破，形态已成，后市看下行。今日亚欧盘反弹修正结束，接下来我们就高空看跌。综合来看，今日黄金操作思路郭晟衫建议反弹做空为主，上方关注1855-60Resistance, pay attention below1825-1830Support.

Golden Operation Strategy:1840Near empty, stop loss1845, Objective1828-1832

Golden Operation Strategy:1825Nearby, stop loss1820, Objective1835-1838

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

The daily level fluctuates and rises;MACDDiverge upwards,KDJSlightly golden cross, moving average with multiple heads arranged, at a loss10Daily moving average115.47前，后市偏向震荡上涨；初步阻力在日高点至120.95Nearby, then3month8Daily high point126.84附近阻力，强阻力在3month7Daily high point130.50Nearby. Given thatMACDandKDJThe bullish signal is not very strong,MACD甚至有轻微的顶背离，油价的上涨空间也受到限制，需要提防空头反扑的可能性，初步支撑在5Daily moving average117.42Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by115.46附近，若回落至该位置下方，则削弱看涨信号；21The daily moving average support is currently at111.82附近，若回落至该位置下方，则增加后市看空信号。原油4Hourly level high oscillation;KDJPreliminary dead fork,K线高位“乌云盖顶”，需要提防短线见顶风险，初步支撑在117.77附近，布林线中轨支撑在116.74Nearby, then115.25附近支撑，若失守该支撑，在油价可能会进一步跌向布林线下轨112.38附近。因为MACDThe Golden Cross signal is still there, if oil prices can stay at117.77上方，则油价有望继续震荡走高。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上郭晟衫建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注120.5-121.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below117.0-116.5Frontline support.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.