Guo Shengshan:6.6黄金一路下跌还会涨吗？原油策略布局

goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Monday（6month6During the Asia Europe session, spot gold fluctuated slightly higher and is currently trading in1854.13dollar/Near the ounce, the strong performance of the US non farm payroll report last Friday strengthened expectations of the Federal Reserve continuing to aggressively raise interest rates, providing support for the US dollar and putting significant pressure on gold prices; The geopolitical situation still provides some support for gold prices, and retail investors are generally bullish in the future, but analysts' bullish sentiment has significantly cooled down. Federal Reserve officials also continue to strengthen their expectations of actively raising interest rates, and this week will also see interest rate decisions from the Reserve Bank of Australia and the European Central Bank. The market generally expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest rates25A basis point, the European Central Bank is expected to7Preparing for a monthly interest rate hike may be detrimental to gold prices. There were no major economic data released on this trading day, and investors need to pay attention to the impact of non farm data fermentation and related news on the geopolitical situation.

　　黄金技术面分析：上周非农黄金先涨后跌，特别是上涨延续变盘，周五非农下跌延续变盘，形成震荡区间，整体没有走出1874，1830The overall environment, therefore, in the near future, gold has been6Before the news of monthly interest rate hikes, it is difficult to make significant progress. It is expected that the trend of gold this week will still fluctuate within a certain range. The trend of gold is relatively clear, with each cycle showing a closing performance and not showing significant fluctuations. Trading should focus on small cycle changes. Currently, the technical performance that can be seen is still volatile. Last week, gold formed a top decline after a consecutive positive day, with daily closing. There is no continuity between long and short during the Yin Yang transition. Therefore, This week's daily chart does not emphasize the single day's ups and downs. If the daily chart continues to be positive, the duration of the rise will be seen, while if the daily chart continues to be negative, the duration of the decline will be seen, maintaining an upper and lower range.

Gold currently4Houbulin also showed a closing performance, with prices temporarily near the Bullin mid track, with equal upward and downward space, and no absolute strength trend. However, in last Friday's decline,kThe line moves under the pressure of the moving average, resulting in a weak shock. Therefore, on the whole, the Golden Week was short at the beginning. From the perspective of shock decline, it is expected that this week will be the trend of first falling and then rising, and the rising space will be seen after the short runs. The interval is no longer emphasized, wait for the cycle to change before making new judgments. In the early morning trading of small cycles, gold will have a slight rebound in volatility, and will be suppressed within the day1858Nearby, waiting for a rebound and short selling, European and American markets continue to decline with visible strength1840，1838At the beginning of the week, it is difficult to break out of the sharp decline, but be careful if the European market stabilizes1858On top of that, then it was slightly stronger at the beginning of the week, so pay attention to Monday's1858Gains and losses of strengths and weaknesses. Expected to cycle down to1830再看强弱转换。综合来看，今日黄金操作思路上郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1845-1840Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Monday（6month6日）亚欧时段，美原油冲高回落，盘初的时候，美原油一度涨至120.95dollar/桶，主要是因为沙特上调了对亚洲7月份的原油销售价格，不过，石油输出国组织和其他产油国组成的OPEC+上周决定在7Month and8月增产64.810000 barrels/日，比先前计划多出50%，多头也有所顾忌，在市场清淡之际，部分多头获利了结。但考虑到供给依然紧张，全球需求预期改善，油价仍有震荡走高的机会。

　　原油技术面分析：原油上周五进一步高位放量且收在高位。周线收官之作，周线收成了中阳线，依旧回稳在均线上方运行，周线和日线暂时保持了多头上升通道。日线随着反复的回踩10The daily line has stabilized, and the short-term line has experienced a strong wave of unilateral high reaching and is still in the process of extension.4The hourly roller coaster style recovery has previously retreated to lost ground, while reaching a high level last week. This week's opening will continue with a strong trend. It is also a continuation of the high second wave. Running in the ascending channel of the hourly chart step, with the second lowest point at115.20.也是短线多头防守临界点。此位之上回踩先行短多，综上总结：今日原油操作思路上郭晟衫建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注121.5-122.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below117.5-117.0Frontline support.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.