Guo Shengshan:6.6晚间黄金原油全面走势分析及布局策略

goldMarket trend analysis;

Monday(6month6day)进入欧市盘中，市场风险情绪改善，欧美股市上扬，美元承压下挫，现货黄金维持微弱升势，现货黄金上涨0.1%To per ounce1,852Near the US dollar, with intraday fluctuations not exceeding10美元。金价仍低于上周的近一个月高点，上周五下跌约1%，此前有数据显示，美国5月份非农就业人数超过预期。美联储预计将在6Month and7月的政策会议上加息0.5个基点，对黄金而言，乐观的就业数据意味着美联储可以继续积极推进6Month and7Monthly interest rate increase50个基点的计划。市场认为美联储不会采取如此激进的措施可能有些为时过早。如果数据在很长一段时间内保持坚挺，工资水平继续保持强劲，通货膨胀也非常顽固，将会迫使美联储在量化紧缩(QT)和利率上保持强硬路线，以压制不断飙涨的通胀水平。于此同时，经济没有迅速走软，这打消了人们对避险资产的需求。也就是说，短期内美联储的激进立场仍是对黄金构成下行风险的主要影响因素。

　　黄金技术面分析：上周非农黄金先涨后跌，特别是上涨延续变盘，上周五非农下跌延续变盘，形成震荡区间，整体没有走出1874，1830The overall environment, therefore, in the near future, gold has been6Before the news of monthly interest rate hikes, it is difficult to make significant progress. It is expected that the trend of gold this week will still fluctuate within a certain range. The trend of gold is relatively clear, with each cycle showing a closing performance and not showing significant fluctuations. Trading should focus on small cycle changes. Currently, the technical performance that can be seen is still volatile. Last week, gold formed a top decline after a consecutive positive day, with daily closing. There is no continuity between long and short during the Yin Yang transition. Therefore, This week's daily chart does not emphasize the single day's ups and downs. If the daily chart continues to be positive, the duration of the rise will be seen, while if the daily chart continues to be negative, the duration of the decline will be seen, maintaining an upper and lower range.

Gold currently4Houbulin also showed a closing performance, with prices temporarily near the Bullin mid track, with equal upward and downward space, and no absolute strength trend. However, in last Friday's decline,kThe line moves under the pressure of the moving average, resulting in a weak shock. Therefore, on the whole, the Golden Week was short at the beginning. From the perspective of shock decline, it is expected that this week will be the trend of first falling and then rising, and the rising space will be seen after the short runs. The interval is no longer emphasized, wait for the cycle to change before making new judgments. In the early morning trading of small cycles, gold will have a slight rebound in volatility, and will be suppressed within the day1858Nearby, waiting for a rebound and short selling, European and American markets continue to decline with visible strength1840，1838At the beginning of the week, it is difficult to break out of the sharp decline, but be careful if the European market stabilizes1858On top of that, then it was slightly stronger at the beginning of the week, so pay attention to Monday's1858Gains and losses of strengths and weaknesses. Expected to cycle down to1830再看强弱转换。综合来看，今日黄金操作思路上郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1843-1838Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Monday（6month6日）亚欧时段，美原油冲高回落，盘初的时候，美原油一度涨至120.95dollar/桶，主要是因为沙特上调了对亚洲7月份的原油销售价格，不过，石油输出国组织和其他产油国组成的OPEC+上周决定在7Month and8月增产64.810000 barrels/日，比先前计划多出50%，多头也有所顾忌，在市场清淡之际，部分多头获利了结。但考虑到供给依然紧张，全球需求预期改善，油价仍有震荡走高的机会。

　　原油技术面分析：原油上周五进一步高位放量且收在高位。周线收官之作，周线收成了中阳线，依旧回稳在均线上方运行，周线和日线暂时保持了多头上升通道。日线随着反复的回踩10The daily line has stabilized, and the short-term line has experienced a strong wave of unilateral high reaching and is still in the process of extension.4The hourly roller coaster style recovery has previously retreated to lost ground, while reaching a high level last week. This week's opening will continue with a strong trend. It is also a continuation of the high second wave. Running in the ascending channel of the hourly chart step, with the second lowest point at115.20.也是短线多头防守临界点。此位之上回踩先行短多，综上总结：今日原油操作思路上郭晟衫建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注121.5-122.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below117.5-117.0Frontline support.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.