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　　goldMessage interpretation:

On Monday morning trading in Asia, international gold prices hovered around1850dollar/Above ounces. Last Friday, the gold price started from1873dollar/The high point of the ounce once fell back to exceed20US dollars, announced on Friday night in the United States5Monthly non farm employment data shows new employment39.0Ten thousand people, far exceeding expectations32.5Ten thousand people, gold prices showed a downward trend after the data was released, as strong employment data strengthened the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve. Although the Beige Book on the US Economic Situation released last Wednesday showed signs of relaxation in labor supply and demand, the number of job vacancies in the US remains significantly high, with layoffs reaching a historic low. The huge gap between job vacancies and recruitment, as well as the huge gap between job vacancies and unemployed workers, reflects the tense labor market. Friday's non farm data just proves this point,5Further recording of monthly average hourly and annual rates5.2%The growth of labor force is expected to further increase before the supply and demand of labor force improves.

Although household savings in the United States have been continuously depleted since the beginning of this year, leading to a possible slowdown in future consumer spending, coupled with rising borrowing costs and inflationary risks, raising concerns about the US economic recession, Federal Reserve officials still advocate for every rate hike50Until it is confirmed that inflation has significantly declined, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Brainard stated that even if price pressures begin to weaken, there is still a possibility for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates and bring inflation down to the level set by the Federal Reserve2%Goal, there is still a lot of work to be done. The hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve has formed a certain degree of suppression on gold prices, and this week we will continue to focus on the further suppression of gold prices caused by hawkish expectations from the Federal Reserve.

Gold trend analysis:

Last week, non agricultural gold first rose and then fell, especially as the rise continued to change. On Friday, the non agricultural decline continued to change, forming a volatile range, and the overall situation did not break out1874，1830The overall environment, therefore, in the near future, gold has been6Before the news of monthly interest rate hikes, it is difficult to make significant progress. It is expected that the trend of gold this week will still fluctuate within a certain range. The trend of gold is relatively clear, with each cycle showing a closing performance and not showing significant fluctuations. Trading should focus on small cycle changes. Currently, the technical performance that can be seen is still volatile. Last week, gold formed a top decline after a consecutive positive day, with daily closing. There is no continuity between long and short during the Yin Yang transition. Therefore, This week's daily chart does not emphasize the single day's ups and downs. If the daily chart continues to be positive, the duration of the rise will be seen, while if the daily chart continues to be negative, the duration of the decline will be seen, maintaining an upper and lower range.

Gold currently4Houbulin also showed a closing performance, with prices temporarily near the Bullin mid track, with equal upward and downward space, and no absolute strength trend. However, in last Friday's decline,kThe line moves under the pressure of the moving average, resulting in a weak shock. Therefore, on the whole, the Golden Week was short at the beginning. From the perspective of shock decline, it is expected that this week will be the trend of first falling and then rising, and the rising space will be seen after the short runs. The interval is no longer emphasized, wait for the cycle to change before making new judgments. In the early morning trading of small cycles, gold will have a slight rebound in volatility, and will be suppressed within the day1858Nearby, waiting for a rebound and short selling, European and American markets continue to decline with visible strength1840，1838At the beginning of the week, it is difficult to break out of the sharp decline, but be careful if the European market stabilizes1858On top of that, then it was slightly stronger at the beginning of the week, so pay attention to Monday's1858Gains and losses of strengths and weaknesses. Expected to cycle down to1830Let's take a look at the transition between strength and weakness. Overall, the guidelines for today's gold operations suggest that the main focus should be on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by going long by stepping back, with short-term attention from above1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1835-1840Frontline support.

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