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gold消息面:
美联储副主席布雷纳德周四表示,美联储不太可能在短期内暂停当前的加息周期。尽管布雷纳德强调,美联储决策者仍将依赖数据,但她表示,最有可能的路径是,加息将持续到通胀得到控制。她在接受CNBC采访时表示:“现在,很难看到加息会暂停。要让通胀率降至2%的目标,我们还有很多工作要做。让通胀回落。这是我们目前面临的最大挑战。我们开始的时机很有利,经济发展势头强劲。” 布雷纳德说,金融环境已经收紧了很多,比新冠疫情前还要紧俏。但降低通胀仍是首要任务,在家庭和企业资产负债表强劲的情况下,预计这不会对经济造成重大损害。布雷纳德同时指出:“如果我们没有看到通胀数据缓和,没有看到需求降温的迹象,那么在下一次会议上以同等速度加息可能是合适的。如果通胀出现缓和迹象,那么放慢紧缩速度也是有道理的。”
另外,美国前财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯表示,有证据表明美联储的行动正在对美国经济产生影响,一些迹象表明劳动力需求出现转变,企业库存商品增加。 萨默斯对外媒表示: “我们看到一些迹象表明,一些公司不再像以前那样报告称存在巨大的劳动力短缺。另外,我们还看到一些库存增加的迹象。” 萨默斯的言论与一些观察人士的言论相呼应,他们都注意到经济指标中尚未立即显现的变化。上周五公布的5月美国就业报告显示,就业人数增长高于预期,更多美国人加入劳动力大军,失业率仍处近50年低点。萨默斯说,他在就业报告中看到了“强大的韧性”,以及“货币政策开始发挥作用的一些证据”。总的来说,总体形势仍然是“经济非常紧张”。.
Gold trend analysis:
Last week, overall, the market was fluctuating and rising from Monday to Thursday, with the highest impact on Thursday1870The first line of suppression, but fortunately it did not break through the upper suppression level, still within the range1874-1830During the trading session, there were ups and downs, and I also reminded you of Friday's market situation during the actual trading operation. Friday's non agricultural move was a technical repair of this week's rebound, and we treated it as a rebound short, resulting in a close of1850Near the front line.
From4Analysis of the hour chart shows that the repair of the golden technical surface has not yet ended, and the opening rebound1862Frontline can intervene in empty orders, and we will focus on the above1872The suppression position of the front line and the contraction operation of the Bollinger three tracks represent limited short-term upward space, whileMA5—MA10The moving average is once again sticking with a golden cross, and short-term bulls are starting to strengthen. Therefore, although gold is currently below1850一线,但不代表多头卷土重来的可能性。单从技术面反转,还要伴随长时间的整理拉锯,除非消息面刺激一步登天,站上关键阻力后再慢慢整理拉动指标向上。目前还是震荡节奏,震荡为前,方向为后,短期受消息面的影响,多空切换频繁,要结合形态灵活应对。综合来看,黄金操作思路指南金师建议反弹做空为主,上方关注1860-65Resistance, pay attention below1830-1835brace.
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