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  gold消息面: 

  刚经历了周五的非农,想必大家对本周的行情还印象深刻,回顾本周市场走势,用震荡这个词来形容是最恰当不过了。不仅是美元,多数品种 都运行的相对比较反复,上上下下的享受可以说是贯穿本周。

  非农数据方面,失业率给到了3.6%,超出预期值的3.6,意料之内的高,但就业数据其实并不差,给到了39万人,大大超出预期的30万。利空金银,这也是为啥周五持续走跌的原因之一。

  从复盘的角度来看,黄金周线收出一根十字星阴线,显示出多空这里的纠结,这也呼应了前面我们说的本周走势的感受。但这种形态是不太好判断下周会如何运行的,是涨还是跌呢?

  并且日图的周五收线是阴包阳理论上是偏空的形态,但总感觉这波涨幅没有走完,就这么调整的话,下方空间也不大。

Friday(6month3日)美元上涨0.41%,指标10年期美债收益率接近盘中稍早触及的两周高位,这令金价承压;现货黄金从近四周高位大幅下挫,最低1846一线,尾盘收于1851美元附近,金价本周跌0.12%,尽管盘中稍早曾触及每盎司1873.99USD5month9日以来最高。数据显示,美国5月新增非农就业岗位超过预期,且薪资增幅维持在相当强劲的水平,显示就业市场强劲。如果美联储认为经济在其加息过程中仍保持稳定,他们可能会感到更有勇气加快加息步伐。对黄金而言,乐观的就业数据意味着美联储可以继续积极推进6Month and7Monthly interest rate increase50个基点的计划,如果数据在很长一段时间内保持坚挺,工资水平继续保持强劲,那么金价可能会跌破1800USD.

Analysis of Gold Technology and Next Week's Strategy:

  黄金本周行情整体上看,周一至周四都是以震荡上涨进行,周四最高冲击了1874一线,但是没有连续突破上方,依旧是在区间1873-1828内进行震荡,周五的非农数据好于预期影响金价走跌,结果也是收盘在1850一线附近。四小时级别上看,均线交织,但MACDGolden fork,KDJReestablish a golden fork,1828一线上涨1874美元支撑金价看涨形态,下方黄金短期支撑在1843附近,若回落至该位置下方,则削弱短线看涨信号;进一步关注1828水平前期低点是否有效。综上所述黄金周线收录阴线十字星形态,非农利好打压金价,目前金价依旧处于高位震荡中,长期空头形态还没有形成,短期多头依据1828一线防守,所以下周操作上指南金师建议考虑高空低多策略,上方关注1870-1874USD resistance, follow below1840-1828美元支撑。意外下破1828,金价有望响应空头第五波,去考验前低1780下方。具体进场临盘提示敬请关注。

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