Guide Metallographer:6.4下周黄金走势分析，黄金限入拉锯战之中！

　　goldMessage surface:

Friday(6month3day)，美国劳工部公布的数据显示，非农就业人口增加39Ten thousand people, higher than expected32.8万人，这使得黄金市场承压下跌。

　　“5月份的就业报告显示，经济增长势头放缓。不过，市场预期的近期大幅下跌似乎并未成为现实，”道明证券大宗商品策略全球主管Bart Melek表示。“总的来说，这意味着市场很可能会提高利率预期。事实上，报告发布后，整个曲线的利率(名义和实际)都在上升。这使得黄金价格从报告发布前的1863 -66美元下降到撰写本文时的1860美元以下。”

　　对黄金而言，乐观的就业数据意味着美联储可以继续积极推进6Month and7Monthly interest rate increase50个基点的计划，这令黄金承压。

　　“市场认为美联储不会采取如此激进的措施可能有些为时过早。我们还需要很长一段时间才能知道。到目前为止，经济数据还不错，”Melek表示，“我们判断，这份报告，以及任何显示经济稳健的未来数据，应该会将价格拉回200Daily moving average(1842dollar)。如果数据在很长一段时间内保持坚挺，工资水平继续保持强劲，那么金价可能会跌破1800US dollars. "

Gold trend analysis:

　　本周行情整体上来讲，周一至周四都是以震荡上涨进行，周四最高冲击了1870The first line of suppression, but fortunately it did not break through the upper suppression level, still within the range1874-1830During the trading session, there were ups and downs, and I also reminded you of Friday's market situation during the actual trading operation. Friday's non agricultural move was a technical repair of this week's rebound, and we treated it as a rebound short, resulting in a close of1850Near the front line.

From4小时图进行分析，黄金技术面回踩修复还没有结束，下周开盘反弹1862Frontline can intervene in empty orders, and we will focus on the above1872The suppression position of the front line and the contraction operation of the Bollinger three tracks represent limited short-term upward space, whileMA5—MA10The moving average is once again sticking with a golden cross, and short-term bulls are starting to strengthen. Therefore, although gold is currently below1850一线，但不代表多头卷土重来的可能性。单从技术面反转，还要伴随长时间的整理拉锯，除非消息面刺激一步登天，站上关键阻力后再慢慢整理拉动指标向上。目前还是震荡节奏，震荡为前，方向为后，短期受消息面的影响，多空切换频繁，要结合形态灵活应对。综合来看，下周黄金操作思路指南金师建议反弹做空为主，上方关注1860-1865Resistance, pay attention below1830-1835brace.

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