Guide Metallographer:6.3今日黄金走势分析，黄金还会回调吗？

　　gold消息面：　

Thursday(6month2day)，现货黄金续反弹，因美元指数时隔两个交易日后重新回落。有机构认为，尽管美联储可以通过强有力的加息来扑灭高通胀之火，但要同时实现经济软着陆则“极其困难”。

　　圣路易斯联储主席布拉德周三(6month1day)表示，高通胀正在危及美联储信誉，并再次呼吁美联储兑现已承诺加息，以降低通胀和通胀预期。上一次出现如此高的通胀水平还是在1970年代末和1980年代初。

　　美联储主席鲍威尔誓言将继续收紧货币政策，直到通胀以明确和令人信服的方式下降，这巩固了市场对今年和明年进一步加息的预期，包括在接下来的6Month and7月会议上继续各加息0.5Percentage points.

　　美国通胀年率是美联储设定的2%目标的三倍多，受到强劲的消费需求、劳动力和零部件供应短缺的共振。作为回应，美联储今年以来已累计升息75个基点。但批评人士认为，美联储过于胆小，无法迅速控制通胀。布拉德曾表示，他希望在今年年底前将利率提高到3.5%。这意味着在年内剩余的每次政策会议上，美联储必须连续加息50Basis points.

　　尽管来自最新公布的美国个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数数据增强了人们对通胀可能已在4月份见顶的乐观情绪，但分析师越来越担心，物价将比预期更久地维持在令人不安的高位，这也将继续支撑黄金的抗通胀魅力。

Gold trend analysis:

　　日线级别震荡；均线交织，MACDGolden fork,KDJ死叉，短线走势变数较大，鉴于200Daily moving average1841.70位置失而复得，金价有上破布林线中轨的迹象，短线震荡上涨的机会有所增加，进一步阻力在1860Near the checkpoint, keep an eye on it1867.58Nearby resistance, this position is1998-1786Downtrend38.2%回撤位，如果能够顶破该阻力，则增加中线看涨信号。更高的阻力在1880Gateway and100Daily moving average1889.71附近。下方继续关注200Daily moving average1841.70附近支撑，若金价再次回落至该位置下方，则增加后市看空信号。4Hourly level oscillation;MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，布林线轨道水平运行，目前初步顶破布林线中轨，如果能够守在布林线中轨1849.40上方，后市有望进一步试探布林线上轨1865.85附近阻力。留意1844附近支撑，若回落至该位置下方，则增加短线看空信号。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1868-1873Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1843-1848Frontline support.

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