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Yesterday(6month1day),美联储经济状况褐皮书显示,所有12个联邦储备地区都报告了持续的经济增长,大多数地区显示略有或温和增长;四个地区显示经济温和增长。有四个地区明确指出,自上次报告以来,经济增长速度有所放缓。圣路易斯联储主席布拉德称,已经宣布的将在每次会议上加息50个基点,这是一条好的路径,并呼吁将利率提高至3.5%。但他同时表示,不建议美联储行动过快,不急于出售债券,利率可能会在2023Year or2024年回落。昨日美元指数受加息预期的影响迎来强势反弹,黄金下挫至1828一线后迎来触底反弹,但美元的强势让黄金上行受阻。
Thursday(6month2day)亚市尾盘,现货黄金展开反弹,金价目前正逼近1850dollar/盎司关口。周三金价受到逢低买盘的支撑,一度涨至1850关口附近,但是,美国经济数据相对靓丽,多位美联储官员再次发表鹰派讲话,美元涨至逾一周高位,美债收益率创两周新高,油价周四大幅回落,这令金价短线仍面临一定的下跌风险。今天周四,本周的数据陆续公布,日内重点关注美盘20:15Announced Small Non FarmersADPdata20:30公布的失业金数据,在目前大趋势多空难辨的情况下,看数据具体的影响。美盘之前依旧围绕技术面做短线利润。
Gold trend analysis:
黄金日线上来看,日线收阳,短线今天整体偏多,连续上涨,日线高点或逐步看1864,1880,4小时周期暂时震荡收口,价位处在布林中轨附近,因此,日内看多但不能激进多,等待回落蓄力后继续多,同时4小时周期的上轨高点在1864So, today's lower target is to see1864,美盘再看数据的影响,如果利多则看1880。确定主方向,找准日内交易点位即可,小周期暂时在1850受压走回落,低位支撑在小时线,30分钟周期的支撑1840附近,亚欧盘在震荡中看对1840The test is expected to be long at this point, and we will take a short-term look before the US market data arrives1850,1864Breaking the limit can bring about a guaranteed loss and continue to look up. If the impact of small non agricultural data is not significant,1864可能比较难破,暂时再看震荡区间,等周五非农核心数据。
从盘面来看,4小时级别一根实体大阳结束了此前1863下跌以来的回调走势,大阳线后面一根KLine back steppingMA5支撑有效再次展开反弹,短线上黄金已确认止跌,附图指标MACD快线拐头向上,绿色能量柱逐渐缩量,STOCH指标底部金叉,指标显示黄金将开启反弹走势,上方阻力关注1850前面重要顶底转换位置,若日内站上此位,接下来黄金将进一步上涨至1865-1870一线,不过1850这里阻力较强,短线可能会出现承压回调再涨,目前黄金短线已然由弱转强,1837目前已由阻力变为支撑,综合来看,今日黄金操作思路指南金师建议回调做多为主,上方关注1870-1875Resistance, pay attention below1835-1840Support.
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