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Guide Metallographer:6.2今日黄金走势分析,黄金多头不利恐继续下行

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Wednesday(6month1day),现货黄金继续走低,创5month19Recently, it has reached a new low1828.38dollar/盎司,因美元指数继续反弹。美国总统拜登会见美联储主席鲍威尔,强调尊重美联储决策独立性,暗示支持其为控制通胀而作出的努力。策略师看来,金价有可能进一步下跌,美联储可能别无选择,只能坚持强硬的政策立场。因此,随着实际利率上升,投机资金可能会减少黄金多头仓位,这应该会推低金价。经济学家认为,利率上升应该为美元重新走强奠定基础。美国经济数据表现也将支持美联储继续加息的想法,并提供了一个长期看涨美元理由。经济前景恶化为避险黄金提供了一些支撑。投资者仍然担心,央行通过加息来抑制通胀可能会影响经济增长。通常被视为对冲通胀风险的黄金,可能因对全球供应链中断将进一步推高消费者物价的担忧而进一步受益。因此,在为黄金进一步贬值做准备之前,积极看空的交易员需要谨慎一些。

Gold trend analysis:

  黄金日线图来看,昨日黄金呈现大阴线,动力上周三会出现惯性下跌的走势,但是同时1828也是关键支撑位置,所以判断该位置是否突破也需要观察来确定,多空可能会在这个位置进行博弈。从现货黄金4小时图看,金价渐渐落于短期均线下方,MACD指标双线也开始向下发出死叉变盘信号,暗示后市行情有可能会向下发展,一旦上述支撑水位(1828美元)失守,行情调整将加深,金价有可能进一步下跌,美联储可能别无选择,只能坚持强硬的政策立场。因此,随着实际利率上升,投机资金可能会减少黄金多头仓位,这应该会推低金价。

  美盘黄金止跌反弹,现在小时图上方1848有明显压力,只有过了1848才能进一步延续涨势。不过4小时图大阳线依托之下,要跌也跌不到哪去,后半夜恐怕也就是卡在区间反复震荡了。短线关注1848阻力,综合来看黄金短线操作上指南金师建议反弹高空为主。

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