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指南金师:今日黄金走势分析,多头不着急,金价还未...

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  goldMessage surface:

Wednesday(6month1day),现货黄金继续走低,创5month19Recently, it has reached a new low1828.38dollar/盎司,因美元指数继续反弹。现货黄金短线拉升6USD, refresh daily high to1840.52dollar/盎司,美国总统拜登会见美联储主席鲍威尔,强调尊重美联储决策独立性,暗示支持其为控制通胀而作出的努力。美国总统拜登周二(5month31day)会见了美联储主席鲍威尔,讨论美国正在经历的数十年来最严重通货膨胀。拜登保证将尊重美联储决策独立性,以在其认为合适的情况下解决通胀问题。白宫国家经济委员会主任迪斯在会后表示,会谈非常有建设性,“总统在会议上向鲍威尔主席强调了包括今天在内一直强调的内容,即他尊重美联储的独立性。”这是自本月早些时候鲍威尔获得参议院确认连任以来两人的首次会面,当时汽油、食品和消费品价格上涨已将通胀推至逾40年新高。这可能意味着,对于试图保持对参议院和众议院控制权的拜登及其执政的民主党来说,将面临艰难的中期选举季节。

  美国财政部长耶伦周二表示,她过去对通胀路径的看法是错误的,但表示抑制物价上涨是拜登总统的首要任务,他支持美联储为实现这一目标而采取的行动。在接受美国有线电视新闻网采访时,耶伦说:“正如我所提到的,经济遭受了意料之外的巨大冲击,推高了能源和食品价格,供应瓶颈严重影响了我们的经济,我当时并没有完全理解。”耶伦表示,为了补充美联储作出的努力,拜登政府正在采取行动,试图通过降低处方药和医疗保健成本,并在国会推动促进使用可再生能源的提案。金价有可能进一步下跌,美联储可能别无选择,只能坚持强硬的政策立场。因此,随着实际利率上升,投机资金可能会减少黄金多头仓位,这应该会推低金价。在政府向经济注入数万亿美元、美联储将借贷成本保持在近零水平之后,美国经济在2021年实现了近四年来最强劲增长。这些做法帮助将失业率从大流行时期高点15%lower52年来的最低水平3.6%,推动工资增长。但这也刺激了消费者支出,导致物价飙升。随着企业解决因大流行而复杂化的供应链问题,以及消费者将支出转向服务业,美联储层预计通胀能够自行放缓。但鲍威尔也明确表示,美联储不再指望这一点,并将根据需要将利率提高到最高水平。鲍威尔认为,高通胀是该国面临的主要经济风险,并将控制它作为美联储在他第二任期内的首要任务,即使这一过程有可能推高失业率,对家庭和企业造成痛苦。美联储今年已经将利率提高了0.75个百分点。大多数美联储政策制定者表示,他们预计将继续加息,直到今年年底达到2.5%左右,如果有需要还可以进一步加息。美联储将在6Month and7月会议上延续5月政策——各加息0.5Percentage points.

Gold trend analysis:

  黄金价格昨日美盘在消息面和数据的影响下,大幅回落,最低触及1832附近,日线收出实体大阴线,并且跌破日线关键支撑。行情既然反转,跌破关键支撑形成了压制位,近期金价关键支撑在1840一线,前期曾多次在该点位出现快速的触底反弹,目前日线直接收线击穿,多空转换之后1840-43一线成短期阻力位。该点位是日内首次考虑接空点位,今日反弹再次上1850的概率极低,日内依托1850为防守去做空即可。 因为本周四和周五还有ADP和非农数据,白盘如果波动有限,那么下方首次可接多点位在1820-22一线,如果波动一旦加快或者反弹不到位直接走低,那么首次多单只能在1812-15一线去参与。综合来看,今日黄金操作思路指南金师建议以反弹做空为主,回踩做多为辅,上方短期关注1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1833-1828Frontline support.

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