Guide Metallographer:6.1今日黄金走势分析，市场大周期下跌，小周...

　　gold消息面：　　

　　目前对于美国市场最大的难题就是在于，在高通胀不断上升的情况下，美联储必须要尽快通过加息来进行有效控制，然而这种手段已经引发经济衰退的风险，在如此局面下如何做好权衡是影响后市金价走势的关键所在。近段时间美联储官员整体措辞还是强硬，所以除非见到明显的数据回落或者通胀降低，否则加息力度还将保持。

　　大田环球现货黄金参考新闻：美联储激进加息已导致股市遭遇沉重卖压，俄乌战争进一步扰乱了因新冠大流行而严重失序的供应链，加剧了外界对经济衰退的担忧。供应链能否尽快恢复正常，决定权不在美联储手里。市场焦点已转向美联储7月后政策前景。一些美联储政策制定者表示，他们希望在决定是否需要调整9月份加息幅度之前，先看看夏季通胀水平会下降多少。

　　大田环球提别提醒：今日的基本面十分活跃，无论是数据还是消息都有相当多值得关注的地方，而且重要程度也不低，所以需要密切关注好，尤其是素有小非农之称的ADP数据将会起到关键作用，对于周五非农的公布会埋下伏笔。

Gold trend analysis:

　　黄金昨日短暂震荡回弹测压1857一线后如预期出现回落调整，跌破三角区下沿1847支撑，后半夜1840支撑也相继失守，日线收得一实体饱和阴线，贯穿跌破20、200日线支撑。日线结构上来看，昨日阴线力度是可以的，给技术上带来的影响也会比较大，短线行情或将因此转势回落，今日上方可着重关注5、20Daily line1845附近的确认压力过程，如果不能返回其上，则后期行情进一步扩大回修空间的可能性加大，下方或可期待日线级别区间下沿1805-00区域。而本周非农数据公布在即，黄金的下跌主要因素也是受此数据的预期影响，所以在周五非农数据前，黄金大概率都会呈现偏弱态势。

　　黄金小时图结构上，昨日黄金走势与预期高度吻合，如预期的短暂回弹确认压力后，跌破三角区间下沿1847支撑，同时打开新一轮震荡下跌趋势，且比预期要提前跌破1840，这也就扩大了短线行情再度回落的空间。按照小时图跌破三角区的形态结构，短线行情下方可先关注1832-30前期低点支撑，短线行情可能会在此有所暂缓，但此位不太可能会是调整的最终点位，根据形态结构测算，下方或将回撤至1810-00区域内找支撑。日内上方则关注昨日三角区下沿转化的压力位1845附近测试，日内交易以反弹做空为主。小周期目前黄金处于极弱状态，午夜反弹至1846无力有形成二次下跌，那么，空头防守点在1846，日内不破1846，可看极弱空，下方或见1830，破位可见1820-1810一带，如果经过亚欧盘震荡站稳1846上，黄金再次进入休整期。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，短期上方重点关注1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1825-1820Frontline support.

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