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Guide Metallographer:6.1Today's gold trend analysis,1825将是日内多头生命线!

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  goldMessage surface:

  隔夜拜登誓言要给美联储主席鲍威尔“空间”,放手让其抗击通胀,美元和美债收益率上涨,削弱了黄金的吸引力。短线来看,基本面和技术面暗示短线下行压力有所增加,不过,地缘局势紧张、通胀居高不下,仍需留意逢低买盘的支撑情况。

Wednesday6.1日:亚盘,现货黄金窄幅震荡于近两周低位附近;周二因美元指数企稳反弹等因素,金价大幅走弱,失守了200The daily moving average once hit a new low in nearly two weeks1834.96美元,美元指数持稳,10年期美国国债债收益率跳升,削弱了黄金的吸引力。美联储理事沃勒周一呼吁美联储在今后的每次会议上都升息,直至通胀得到抑制,打消了6Month and7月后将暂停升息的预期。市场预期拜登可能会敦促美联储采取更多措施来对抗通胀压力,若是看到美元相当稳定,黄金市场会有轻微压力。

  美元指数的反弹和美债收益率的上涨,对金价打压明显,技术面看空信号有所增加,考虑到本周将迎来美国非农就业报告,大概率将显示美国就业市场相对强劲,短线金价仍有震荡走弱的风险。但是地缘局势依然紧张,虽然市场对此有点麻木,考虑到通胀依然高企,金价的下行空间仍可能受到一定的限制,美联储正式开启缩表,美元和实际利率有望反弹,对金银形成压制,但目前来看不足以构成单边驱动,仍是处于震荡区间内,因此建议仍以波段思路对待。

  本交易日将出炉有着“小非农”之称的美国5monthADP就业数据,市场预计美国5月就业人数将么一增加30万人,略微利空金价。此外,投资者还需关注美国5monthISMmanufacturingPMIAnd the United States4monthJOLTs职位空缺,留意美国5monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI终值和加拿大央行利率决议。市场预计加拿大央行会加息50个基点,这会增加持有黄金的机会成本。

Gold trend analysis:

Yesterday, gold fluctuated and fell under pressure, ending lower. After repeatedly exploring high but not breaking, it was under pressure at the upper track of the range. After testing support during the European and American trading period, it fell sharply in late trading, breaking through last week's low point1840And closed below, the daily line closed with a mid shadeKLine. The daily line broke through and closed at a low level, with further pullback expected the next day. Based on the weekly pattern, after two consecutive positive rebounds, the weakness is only three, and this week's closing is more critical. It is expected to decline again and turn negative in the third week. Yesterday's first downward trend and short-term weakness. There are signs of a weekly decline. 4Hour chart rebounds on1870as well as1864Formed a double high point that was blocked and transitioned back, breaking the support defense of the neck line yesterday1840.Closing at a low level, the next day saw a continuous decline, and the moving average index began to turn downward amidst chaos. At the same time, it also pushed open the lower track of the Bollinger Road.4Hours are bearish.1Yesterday, the hour chart repeatedly explored high and fell, forming a small level of step oscillation and decline. As the rebound strength weakened, the high point continued to move downwards, combined with the single positive rebound and then continuous negative decline, breaking the low point1840-1842转换成阻力,弱势行情,今日亚盘就会惯性摔低延续,亚盘要积极先行看空,以免踏空弱势。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1855-1860Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1820-1823Frontline support.

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