Guide Metallographer:6.1今日黄金走势分析，金价短线一波跳水！

　　goldMessage surface:

Tuesday(5month31day)Spot gold is under pressure as the US dollar index rebounds significantly to102Pass, stay away from the ones created overnight4month25New low since the beginning of the day101.297。 The hawks of the Federal Reserve continue to speak up, demanding that interest rates be raised at every subsequent meeting within the year50个基点。但美联储激进加息引发的经济衰退风险限制了金价卖压。若有任何迹象显示通胀仍将居高不下，或者表明美国民众薪资持续上升，经济表现坚挺，美联储可能会在7月后维持激进加息策略，因此大举做多黄金并不明智选项。策略师指出，实际利率是支撑金价上涨的关键因素，其他推动金价上涨的因素目前市场也不乏炒作，包括乌克兰战争引发的地缘风险，全球供应链进一步紊乱，加剧通胀并引发经济衰退。分析师发布报告称，在收益率上升之际，金价看跌，“债券市场人气将是判断黄金未来走势的关键。此外要注意的是，欧元区通胀初值和美国咨商会消费者信心指数可能给更广泛市场情绪带来的新线索。”据CFTC的统计数据，投机性金融投资者最近似乎对黄金持更开放的态度，在截至5month24日的一周内，他们的净多头头寸增加了40%, reaching6.1万份。如果事实证明这不仅仅是昙花一现，那么黄金很可能会从这方面获得提振。

Tuesday(5month31day)进入欧市盘中，股市下跌，美国国债全线抛售，美元反弹走高，黄金承压走低失守1850关口，正迈向连续第2个月下跌。今日美国总统拜登将会见美联储主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)。据报道，两人将讨论通胀问题。市场对此高度关注。美元指数大幅反弹至102Pass, stay away from the ones created overnight4month25New low since the beginning of the day101.297。 The hawks of the Federal Reserve continue to speak up, demanding that interest rates be raised at every subsequent meeting within the year50个基点。但美联储激进加息引发的经济衰退风险限制了金价卖压。美联储面临重压，即如何果断降低通胀率的同时又不至于造成经济衰退。

Gold trend analysis:

　　黄金日内受美指走势影响先出现一波回撤，跌至1846/45附近，随后行情如预期的有所回弹，欧盘时段上方回弹测压至1856/57一线，随后又再度如预期的承压回落，目前低点跌回至1840一线。从小时图结构来看，日内黄金走势明显有所转弱，这也是在预期内的，目前行情对三角区间下沿有所刺破，且小时图均线交叉向下，行情整体结构重心下移，预示短期内行情或有进一步的回落调整可能性，但是目前1840附近可能会有支撑作用，至于是否会跌破1840，则可能还是要参考美指走势，以及市场对于本周非农行情的预期。

　　4小时周期的震荡表现更加明显，布林收口，均线集中在布林中轨附近，是标准的高估底渣行情，暂时可见的区间范围在1840/1860，日内可围绕此区间做高空低多，由于周初整体偏弱，慢跌走势扩大的话，低位1840破位，下方则看1832。日内短线关注1840低点，下破1840则会走弱看1832-1830，此位是短期临界点，下破看空，不破继续震荡。综合来看，今日黄金操作思路指南金师建议反弹做空为主，上方关注1855-1860Resistance, pay attention below1830-1832Support.

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