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Guide Metallographer:5.31今日黄金走势分析,继续阻力点做空逻辑

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  现货黄金承压,因美元指数大幅反弹至102Pass, stay away from the ones created overnight4month25New low since the beginning of the day101.297。 The hawks of the Federal Reserve continue to speak up, demanding that interest rates be raised at every subsequent meeting within the year50个基点。但美联储激进加息引发的经济衰退风险限制了金价卖压。

Tuesday(5month31day)进入欧市盘中,股市下跌,美国国债全线抛售,美元反弹走高,黄金承压走低失守1850关口,正迈向连续第2个月下跌。因美国国债收益率走强,美元走强,金价自2021year3月以来首次连续第二个月下跌。美国10年期公债收益率走高降低了零收益黄金的吸引力,而美元走强则令以美元计价的黄金对海外买家来说更加昂贵。现货金日内小幅下跌,一度触及1845美元,日内波动不超过10美元。不过当月迄今已下跌2.4%Last year9月以来最大跌幅。5月份黄金的表现总体上令人失望,美元一出现走强的迹象,黄金就立即走软,而美元疲软或美国债券收益率下降,黄金却无法从中获得实质性收益,有分析师说。这是一个警告,如果两者都逆转,未来黄金将更加疲弱,除非东欧紧张局势急剧升级,否则黄金的向下修正似乎可能在6月继续。在美联储加息周期开始之际,由于市场继续消化衰退风险,黄金的表现远好于预期。美国短期利率走高提高了持有黄金的机会成本,但黄金也被视为经济危机(如衰退)期间的避险工具。

Gold trend analysis:

  日线收成小阳。不过今日开盘即表现出一波弱势回落至1850下方。周线而言,本周是第三周的强弱转换,此前已经连续两根小阳线反弹,弱势不过三,本周是一个拐点,弱势的话本周大概率要转阴下行。留意周线的形态转换。目前日线暂时处于夹角区间中运行,由于空间收缩较小。暂时还看不出强弱,日线是由此转折向下,还是继续拉锯震荡,等待空间的释放确认。4The hourly chart remained basically at the upper track of Bollinger Road yesterday, with pressure contraction and oscillation, and the upper probe did not break its previous high point1869.Long positions do not break high, continuity is not strong, short-term attention within the day1840Low point, long-term attack not too high, rebound not sustained, reverse downward break1840则会走弱,所以综合分析操作上指南金师建议反弹做空为主,上方关注1860-1865Resistance, pay attention below1840-1835Support.

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