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goldLatest Market Analysis
Analysis of Gold News: Monday(5month30At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range1850关口附近,虽然美元相对疲软,给金价提供支撑,但美国股市持续反弹,打压黄金的避险需求。标普500指数上周大涨近7%,预计周一亚欧股市会跟随涨势,金价的短线下行压力有所增加,本周投资者将继续关注美国非农就业数据,与未能创造足够就业机会的其他国家不同,美国经济中的劳动力市场一直保持强劲。美国劳工统计局将在本周晚些时候报告非农就业人数(NFP),预计美国政府将报告本月新增31万个就业机会,而之前的数据为42.8万个。而失业率预计将稳定在3.6%。高于预期的美国NFP数据可能会推动美元指数上涨,因为这将导致美联储采取极端鹰派立场。
上周黄金先跌后涨再调整,基本在效范围的震荡区间,特别重要的是1840三次试探不破,在日线布林中轨附近形成标准震荡区间,本周市场数据较多,会走出破位性行情,大家注意跟上思路的变化。本周市场的重点在周四,周五,小非农数据ADP,失业金都在周四公布,非农数据在周五公布,周初暂时不做解析,等周三行情走完在做预测和判断。
黄金从技术面来看,黄金上周小阳十字KAfter two consecutive weeks of rebound, the weekly market is facing a long or short choice, with only three weak rebounds and a risk of market change in the third week. Combined with last week's closingK线,周线强度不够。本周若能走弱转阴,则周线有望继续向下调整。目前周线处于选择当中。日线方向,上周的空间相对不大,周初反弹摸高1868.80After the high point, it fell into shock and saw back and forth, and the space began to contract, basically maintaining a contraction within the range of early last week. And currently entering the angle range waiting to break through, above30The daily line forms a suppression.4小时图布林道开始收缩,结构上处于震荡反弹当中,此前回撤1840一线启稳,目前短线图暂时维稳在低点上方运行。短线相对还是偏反弹一些,但是空间延续性是一个问题,由于周线和日线面临选择,短线图的形态相对变化会快一些。目前由于空间和小周期形态进入钝化。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上萧毅舟建议以回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1870-1875Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1850-1845Frontline support.
国际油价周一亚洲时段攀升至逾两个半月高位,因亚洲疫情的好转令市场重燃对需求复苏的信心,而供给端则面临着越来越多的不确定性:欧盟正在紧锣密鼓地制定一项计划,试图禁止从俄罗斯进口原油;周末伊朗在波斯湾海域扣押两艘希腊油轮的消息,也令人们对霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输风险感到忧虑。行情数据显示,布伦特原油futures价格日内上涨0.61USD, increase0.51%,最新交投于每桶120.04USD, this is from3month9日以来布伦特原油价格首度重返120美元关口上方。美国WTI原油期货则上涨0.93USD, increase0.82%To each barrel116.01美元,延续了上周以来的强势表现。在美国和欧洲的夏季需求高峰到来之前,全球汽油、柴油和航空燃油的需求就已经不断上升,若欧盟对俄罗斯石油的进一步禁令达成,料将使原油市场供应更为紧张。
原油方面,原油的强势不言而喻,就差加速了。周五刚好回撤了前期小时线大阳线底部发力,走了连续性收阳。而当前来说,趋势为王。日线级别,布林带持续开口向上,价格已经来到前期的重要阻力附近,也就是116.5一线,之前两次价格向上试探,均受到压制而回撤,日内的所需要关注的重点就是此位置的突破情况,一旦上破,价格将有机会再次向3月份高点迈进。4小时,布林带开口向上,价格呈阶梯式上涨,基本没有太多的回调,走势比较强势,日内操作思路保持看多,下方关注115.5Frontline support.
Crude Oil Strategy: Recommendations115.8Long nearby, stop loss115, Objective118, hold against the limit.
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