鼎盛金师：下周黄金原油涨跌行情走势操作策略

Friday(5month27day)，gold市场连续第2周上涨，美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1853.27dollar/Ounces, up2.84USD or0.15%The highest daily hit1861.88dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1847.85dollar/盎司。本周，现货黄金小幅上涨7.05USD or0.38%。许多分析师认为，推动金价再度上涨的最大因素是美元走软。美元仍处于相对高位，不过，它已经自本月初的高点下跌了3%。分析人士指出，随着欧洲央行暗示可能在7月份开始加息，美元兑欧元的汇率正在下滑。目前看来美元已见顶，消除了已开始反弹的黄金的关键阻力。黄金对美国利率极为敏感，升息代表若投资人选择持有不付息的黄金，机会成本将增加。黄金周五上涨也和美元疲软有关，美元指数本周周线连两周下跌。美元走软，代表以非美元付款的海外投资人在买入黄金时的成本较低。从历史来看，利率上扬不利黄金，但有鉴于俄乌战争、美国薪资上扬造成通胀压力骤增，金晟富预测金价仍有续涨空间。

　　展望下周：后续重点关注下周大非农来袭，美国股市下周一将因阵亡将士纪念日休市，不过下周仍将有大量经济数据出炉。 那就是下周五公布的非农就业报告，以当前的了解情况劳动力市场在当前经济环境下表现如何。 就下周五的非农就业数据本身，市场也已经预留了增速放缓的预期。目前的市场预期32.5万较前一个月的42.8万明显下降。 尽管下周将公布多项重要数据，但市场分析师表示，这些数据对利率预期影响不大。 经济学家表示，无论数据如何，美联储似乎都将在接下来的两次货币政策会议上加息50Basis points.

Analysis of the gold market trend next Monday:

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金周五走势相对平稳，虽然多头有意触及到60Putting pressure on bears from above is likely to hit some bears in the market, and the overall strength is also quite obvious, ultimately leading to a pullback60Running below, subject to50On the one hand, there is support, and currently it continues to operate between the short and medium term moving averages, forming a certain range of fluctuations. In the short term, there is a possibility of turning around within four hours, so there is a high possibility of forming a double top or head and shoulder top pattern above. Once this form is formed, combined with the medium term decline pattern, gold is likely to continue to fall significantly in the later stage, and the short target in the medium term is also what we mentioned earlier1770Nearby, this position is likely to be the bottom position of this year, while the pressure above continues to maintain60On the front line, although there has been some penetration in the past few days, there is no desire to continue attacking, and the points that need to be paid attention to next week are50-40俩个支撑，如继续下破的话，空头仍然可以跟进；

　　目前小时结构上，短线行情可能在1860附近有一定的承压，小时图也表现一定的超买，但短线结构重心得到抬升，所以即便有承压回修，空间也不会很大，回撤支撑位企稳后依然有很大的回升上涨可能性。综上所述，那么周一开盘操作而言，如果看延续多头反转起来，那么基本上不能期待太多回落，点位方面维持在1840-1847Above, we need to continue to look at the highs and lows, and continue to look up until the weekly closing line. If there are repeated fluctuations and breaks1847So it's another fluctuating market. Even if it's fluctuating repeatedly, there may still be a second round of bottoming out, but I think it won't affect the challenge1870-1880水平的、对此，各位拭目以待下周开盘、那么具体操作，各位还需根据市场的变化来随机应变，所以进行操作的同时，投资朋友一定要控制好仓位及止损问题、严格设止损，切勿抗单操作。近期市场动荡幅度较大，机会与风险并存。控制风险再博收益。

Empty order strategy:

Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1862-1865Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss5Points, target1855-1850Nearby, break down and take a look1845frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)

Multiple order strategy:

Strategy 2: Gold Callback1842-1845Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1850-1855Nearby, break down and take a look1860frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)

Analysis of silver trend:

　　白银近期受美联储加息影响，日线迎来单边一路下行，并且成功打开布林下轨空间，最低下探了20关口附近。目前触及20.4位置得以缓解跌势，并且重回22关口附近，多头出现反弹信号。现在日、周线都处于严重超卖区，就看白银能不能延续反弹回升了，毕竟从26关口超跌了那么多，也该进行反弹修复了。日线RSI指标已经从超卖区转头向上修复运行，MA5—MA10均线开始金叉上行，MACD红柱能开始放量，加之周线成功收尾在前低21.5之上，对于多头还是有力。现在冲高22关口受阻回落，日线承压布林中轨以十字星收尾，对于多头反弹不利，今日操作还是重点关注22关口，下方21.5附近布局多单。

　　crude oilMessage surface analysis

Friday（5month27During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting114.14dollar/桶，油价周四上涨超3%，得益于美指上涨，且美国原油和汽油库存在夏季驾车出行季节来临前显露持续减少的迹象；英国政府周四宣布对能源公司盈利征收暴利税也为油价上涨助力。价差走扩之际，原油价格上涨和燃油价格创新高引发了对通胀的担忧。随着夏季需求迫近，价差的飙升显示了对即刻可用原油的需求提升。现货市场的强势也在推动价差走扩。美国原油futures交割地俄克拉荷马州库欣的库存已连续三周减少。欧洲也一直在采购轻质低*原油，以弥补俄罗斯供应缺口。分析师表示，“人们意识到供应将继续萎缩，这就是推动原油价格走高的原因。

　　原油从技术面来看，日线级别震荡上涨；均线多头排列，MACDThe Golden Cross signal continues,KDJRe forming a golden cross, the Bollinger Line track tilts upwards, and oil prices are expected to move upwards along the Bollinger Line track. The initial resistance is5month17Daily high point115.56Nearby,3month24Resistance to daily highs116.64Nearby, if further breaking occurs, it is expected to fluctuate upwards120Near the checkpoint.Below5The daily moving average support is currently at111.90Nearby,21The daily moving average support is currently at108.67附近，若失守该支撑，则增加后市看空信号。小时图上看，油价处于自109.23The upward trend of the US dollar openingiiiWave, upward resistance looking towards76.4%Target bit115.83USD.iiiWaves are from103.25The upward trend of the US dollar opening(iii)The sub waves of the waves.(iii)浪是同样自98.20The upward trend of the US dollar opening((i))The sub waves of the waves.((i))Waves are3The sub waves of the waves.

　　原油周五突破震荡区间，最高冲至114.79一线，日线大阳。单看日线今天还有高点，但是上方也到了趋势线阻力，也不排除今天震荡。目前下方支撑113附近触及可以先多一波，目标114.5-115.2-116Nearby,116不破反手空。下方若见112还是多，目标不变。

　　原油下周一操作建议：周一114.3附近先多，目标115.3Break the position to see116.3，116.3不破反手空

　　— This article is contributed by Ding Sheng Jin Shi.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Dingsheng Jinshi Online Solution Set,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.!