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goldFundamentals:
Friday(5month27day),国际金价上涨,因美元指数持续走弱,创4month25Recently, it has reached a new low101.429,市场对美联储采取更激进货币紧缩政策的预期下降。有迹象表明美联储可能在下半年放缓甚至暂停紧缩周期,金价料升向1870美元。经济数据方面,美国商务部周四公布,第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)Decline at an annual rate1.5%, lower than the decline predicted by Dow Jones1.3%Is also lower than the initially announced shrinkage1.4%。5month14The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is21.810000 people, an increase from the previous season, slightly higher than the estimated21.5Ten thousand people. Although from4Month in the United StatesCPIFrom a data perspective, there is almost no sign that inflation is about to peak, but based on market inflation expectations5There was a significant cooling in the month:5Annual forward inflation expectations4At the time of the month, it reached2.67%Years of new highs, at5The month falls back to2.22%Frontline, creating2011年以来的最大跌幅。美联储大幅度加息下,金融环境不断收紧,叠加美国股市大跌令市场泡沫消退,表明华尔街正在认真聆听美联储的鹰派立场,这最终将有助于为通胀降温。与此同时,基于市场的通胀预期在5月显著下降,表明美联储在遏制通胀问题上取得了缓慢但正面的进展。“在降低通胀预期,让其达到美联储目标水平上,还有许多路要走,但目前的预期至少在美联储可接受范围内。市场对鲍威尔抗击通胀表现出一定的信心。”这说明在短期内,美联储的加息节奏尚不会有大的改变,这对黄金构成压力。但也有分析认为,鉴于俄罗斯在乌克兰的战争和美国劳动力成本上升带来的巨大通胀压力,金价还有进一步攀升的空间。
美国劳动力成本上升将使美国的生活成本在年底前保持在5%The high order of. When the inflation rate remains at least one quarter5%以上时,贵金属往往会表现强劲。但从近阶段现货黄金的表现来看,黄金多头即便反扑,也显得现当犹豫,且力度不足。由此看出,当前黄金多空出现较大分歧,均在试探寻求明确的方向。昨日黄金市场区间整理,早盘开盘在1852.9The position of the market has slightly increased and given1854.3After its position, the market quickly fell and the daily line reached its lowest point1840.5的位置后行情受到日线10日均线支撑反弹,日线最收线在了1850.7的位置后行情以一根下影线极长锤头形态收线。4小时图上,各项技术指标都处在均衡线附件,方向指向不明朗。今日若无重大消息刺激,预料黄金仍会处在窄幅整理之中,波动区间集中在1840-1857between.
Analysis of Gold Market Trend
From the perspective of daily structure, it has been sorted out for a long time and the trend may change. Coupled with the weakening of the US dollar, the short-term rebound of gold may still be further boosted. Build momentum in the consolidation process and then push for a rebound. The daily line is currently in a uniform angle range for consolidation, and gold fell yesterday, rebounded and closed flat, with a downward trend ahead1840.60After a long period of horizontal consolidation, the area will be stabilized and organized. The rebound in the late trading session recovered the lost ground during the day's decline. Final closing at1850upper. Daily crossKThe consolidation of the line closed with the weakening of the US dollar, boosting the rebound of gold prices after consolidation.
4Houtu Bling Road began to close. Yesterday, it hit the lower track and started to stabilize. After a second dip, it slightly rebounded and closed near the middle track. Today, the opening is still near the middle track, and the pressure on the upper track is currently1866Nearby. The lower rail is1840With the support of the current closure of Bollinger Road, combined with yesterday's approach, it may still be a narrow consolidation between residential areas today. The contraction of the interval becomes smaller, and there are concerns about being bullish, waiting to form an effective volume breakthrough.1Hours on1840Organize to form temporary support, so based on comprehensive analysis and operation guidelines, the gold teacher suggests keeping high altitude and low, and paying attention from above1860-1865Resistance, pay attention below1835-1840Support.
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