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美联储激进的货币政策收紧计划削弱了黄金的吸引力,且股市反弹令压力加剧。但后来市场对美联储过度加息的担忧情绪降温,美元回落近一个月低位附近,又吸引逢低买盘支撑金价。展望未来,周五美国将公布4月个人收入和支出数据、美联储青睐的通胀指标核心PCE物价指数以及5月密西根大学消费者信心指数终值。除了数据外,市场还担心中国经济增长放缓以及欧洲能源安全风险,其可能提振对美元的避险需求。
Friday(5month27日)亚欧时段,现货黄金震荡微涨,目前交投于1854dollar/盎司附近,美国经济数据正在变坏,市场对美联储明年货币政策的预期有所缓和,美元持续走弱,帮助金价坚守在200日均线上方,而且地缘局势依然紧张,也给多头提供信心。不过,亚洲股市普遍跟随隔夜美股涨势,金价涨幅也受到一些限制。晚间将迎来美国4monthPCE数据,市场观望情绪较浓,投资者需要重点关注。虽然市场预期物价上涨程度会略低于3月份,但通胀大概率处于历史较高水平,有望给金价提供上涨动能。
Analysis of the trend of gold market;
黄金技术面分析;黄金昨日下探回升收平,先行下探1840.60After a long period of horizontal consolidation, the area will be stabilized and organized. The rebound in the late trading session recovered the lost ground during the day's decline. Final closing at1850upper. Daily crossKThe consolidation of the line closed with the weakening of the US dollar, boosting the rebound of gold prices after consolidation. From the perspective of daily structure, it has been sorted out for a long time and the trend may change. Coupled with the weakening of the US dollar, the short-term rebound of gold may still be further boosted. Build momentum in the consolidation process and then push for a rebound. The daily line is currently in a uniform angle range, with30Daily suppression, below10With the support of the daily line, the week ended today. The opening position is still in place1850Neutral position, lower critical1840.Upper critical1870.4Houtu Bling Road began to close. Yesterday, it hit the lower track and started to stabilize. After a second dip, it slightly rebounded and closed near the middle track. Today, the opening is still near the middle track, and the pressure on the upper track is currently1866Nearby. The lower rail is1840With the support of the current closure of Bollinger Road, combined with yesterday's approach, it may still be a narrow consolidation between residential areas today. The contraction of the interval becomes smaller, and there are concerns about being bullish, waiting to form an effective volume breakthrough.1Hours on1840Organize to form temporary support. But I haven't stood yet1856The previous day's rebound high point resulted in insufficient continuity between long and short positions, which was boosted by the weakening of the US dollar. But the intensity is also difficult to achieve in one step, and repeated twists and turns are the main style. Today we still need to focus on1840防守。此位之上继续看震荡反弹。反之下破则走弱。综合来看,今日黄金操作上指南金师建议短期上方关注1863-1868One line of resistance, pay attention below1840-1835Frontline support.
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