Guide Metallographer:5.26今日黄金最新消息面，加息或已成定局

　　goldFundamentals:

　　近日，亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克发表文章警告称，美联储仓促加息可能会造成“严重的经济混乱”，并敦促他的同事们“谨慎行事”。他强调，决策者必须“注意”病毒大流行、乌克兰战争和供应链瓶颈对经济前景的不确定影响。博斯蒂克此前已经表示，他希望美联储在9月会议上暂停进一步加息，以便有时间评估收紧政策对经济和通胀的影响。今日凌晨公布的会议纪要也显示，当前美联储没有考虑更激进的紧缩政策，这再次限制了美元的上行空间。

　　此外，美联储的紧缩行动即将计入最棘手的下一段—收缩8.5万亿美元的债券持仓。当前美国国债市场正在战战兢兢为可能出现的中断做准备。美联储5月份政策会议的纪要显示，“多位”决策者认为每月让数百亿美元债券到期不替换的计划可能对市场造成“意料之外的影响”。近期美债十年期收益率与美债五年期收益率已出现倒挂现象，本次的缩表将极大的增加美国债券市场的不确定性。

　　指南金师个人观点：因担心会议纪要进一步是否鹰派信号，金价周三盘中一度跌至1841.86附近，但会议纪要公布后，跌幅有所缩窄。会议纪要显示，美联储没有考虑更激进的紧缩步伐，带来了美联储在今年晚些时候可能暂停紧缩政策的希望，这令美元反弹势头受阻，给金价提供支撑。

Gold trend analysis:

Yesterday, gold fell from the negative line and closed lower, maintaining a weak consolidation below the previous day's high, under pressure1868阻力探高不破。黄金前半段时间主要维持弱势下行，一度跌破了1848The starting and ending points of the week. Lowest to1841.50dollar|盎司。不过随着会议纪要公布后，跌幅收窄。最终金价收盘在1853.收盘仍收在了区间1848之内。日线在经过低位连阳反弹以后，首次转阴受阻回落。结构上进入多空转换阶段，均线指标上有30Daily suppression, below10日线的支撑。多空暂时分化。而昨日下破1848后仍在之上，使得日内短线仍要关注强弱转换。4Houbulin Road began to close, and yesterday it fell under pressure from the upper track to slightly stabilize and rebound at the lower track. Temporarily operating within the contraction range of Bollinger Road, coupled with the first negative turn of the daily line, it is not yet clear whether the strength will continue. Today is the key point, and whether it can continue to be negative after the negative turn is the key. If there is a further negative streak today and the closing price breaks1840下方，则这波反弹可以宣告结合，重新构造下行通道。反之重新收复1865并站稳，短线则会转强。目前进入强弱转换争夺，综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1835-1840Frontline support.

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