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goldMessage interpretation:
金价受到横向阻力线压制,以及美元止跌反弹的影响,令金价走势遇阻回落,并且因担心会议纪要是否进一步鹰派信号预期而打压金价,一直延续到美盘受到技术支撑和数据利好的影响下,回落力度有所减弱,并有所反弹回升;
到凌晨美联储5月会议纪要符合市场预期的6Month and7Monthly interest rate increase0.5个百分点,没有考虑更激进的紧缩步伐,令市场对于后市加息75个基点的风险减弱,使得美元回落,美债收益率走弱,支撑金价回升力度,但仍收跌。
Looking Forward to Today Thursday(5month26day):国际黄金亚市早盘窄幅运行,美元继续偏弱,美债收益率有所止跌,整体令其有观望情绪。短期多头动力将受到限制。
短期来看,受到6-7月美联储利率决议的临近,金价多头反弹将会受限,并且在公布的前一周,美元将会受到加息50个基点的提振而走强,并对金价造成打压
Thursday(5month26During the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading in1840美元关口附近,尽管隔夜美联储会议纪要鹰派略微不及预期,在短线给金价提供了一些支撑,地缘局势和全球经济衰退风险也支撑金价,但全球央行料将进一步加息,这会增加持有黄金的机会成本,黄金多头有所顾忌。而且美国股市上涨,打压黄金的避险买需。
本交易日重点关注美国一季度GDP修正值和美国初请失业金人数变动,市场预计美国一季度GDP可能会小幅上修,初请失业金人数料将进一步反映美国就业市场稳健复苏,可能会对金价不利。
Analysis of the latest market trend of gold:
黄金目前是一个1807Up to1869后的高位整理形态,1869回撤近30美金并且触底后反弹收盘在高位,这高位震荡的节奏比较明显,昨天要是收盘在1845下方,那就是明显的弱势,但是尾盘走出了反弹收盘在1850上方,黄金高位多空力量博弈阶段;周三黄金开盘回落下测支撑,在1860的位置走出一波回升,但未能延续上行,而是继续选择破底走弱,欧美盘持续不断走弱,相对日内高点而言还是属于低位弱势收尾,这一点来看黄金连阳局面被打破,空头能否真的成形这是未知的,至少可以判断多头能量暂缓,基于这一点今日高位仍可空;
黄金从技术面来看,黄金昨日中阴线回落收低,开盘维持在前一日高点之下弱势整理,受压于1868阻力探高不破。因担心会议纪要是否进一步鹰派信号。黄金前半段时间主要维持弱势下行,一度跌破了1848The starting and ending points of the week. Lowest to1841.50dollar|盎司。最终金价收盘在1853.收盘仍收在了区间1848之内。日线在经过低位连阳反弹以后,首次转阴受阻回落。昨日下破1848后仍在之上,使得日内短线仍要关注强弱转换。4Houbulin Road began to close, and yesterday it fell under pressure from the upper track to slightly stabilize and rebound at the lower track. Temporarily operating within the contraction range of Bollinger Road, coupled with the first negative turn of the daily line, it is not yet clear whether the strength will continue. Today is the key point, and whether it can continue to be negative after the negative turn is the key. If there is a further negative streak today and the closing price breaks1840下方,则这波反弹可以宣告结合,重新构造下行通道。目前进入强弱转换争夺,下方临界点在1840-1842。上方临界点在1865-1868。亚盘开盘的位置偏中性。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方重点关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1835-1840Frontline support.
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