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前几天,现货gold的价格一直在持续上涨,可是,在昨天,现货黄金的价格于1855dollar/盎司附近受阻,出现了“滞涨”现象,这是否预示着现货黄金的价格涨不动了?
虽然有美联储官员呼吁9月暂停加息,隔夜美元延续跌势,一度帮助金价涨至1865附近的两周高位,但该位置附近阻力极强,而且美国股市反弹,欧洲央行强化了7月份加息的预期,金价最终回吐了大部分涨幅。
值得一提的是,5month6日低点、5month10Daily highs and1898-1786Downtrend38.2%回撤位阻力都在1865附近,该阻力需要重点关注。
另外,本周还将迎来美联储会议纪要,预计会进一步夯实市场对美联储激进加息的预期,这令多头有所顾忌。本交易日将迎来欧美多个国家5monthPMI数据,投资者需要留意市场对全球经济前景预期的变化。
此外,投资者还需要留意俄乌地缘局势、新冠疫情相关消息。
Analysis of Gold Market Trend
Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday(5month25day)During the US market period, the rise of the US dollar put pressure on gold, with spot gold experiencing a decline of up to1.2%The lowest touch in the plate1842.22dollar/Ounces, lower than daily highs25USD. retribution in one's lifetime1846dollar/ounce. Spot gold almost wiped out the previous trading day's gains and is expected to end the continuous upward trend of the past five trading days, as the US dollar index rebounds and traders wait for the upcoming Federal Reserve announcement5Monthly policy meeting minutes to seek new clues about the pace of tightening policy by the Federal Reserve. The pace of gold's rebound is still faltering as Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has expressed willingness to bear some pain to quell inflation, suggesting that the Fed is also inclined to bear more economic costs to tighten policies, which will ultimately suppress gold prices. In the early morning of this morning, the market focused Federal Reserve meeting minutes were in line with the market's interest rate hike50Expectations of a single point saw a slight rebound in gold.
黄金技术面分析:周二录得一根实体中阳线,价格再创新高至1869.5一线,日线级别5连阳,昨日收盘价格站上中轨,且价格已破位反弹382回高线阻力位,今日黄金大概率会延续反弹走势,现在的黄金依然是多头上涨走势,回调做多是最正确的操作思路。而且黄金的走势非常规律,新高后回调横盘震荡,蓄势后再次拉升新高,走势非常健康,黄金走势很规律,均线支撑K线稳步抬升,震荡横盘是为了再次上涨蓄势,而回调就是再次多的机会,突破昨日高点1865后将会继续上涨1880一线。黄金现在一直维持均线支撑上方运行,属于多头上涨趋势,我们现在的思路只有一个,低多看涨。至于黄金是否已经见顶,是否会进行大幅回调,没有跌破关键支撑确认信号前,我们不会轻易的改变看法。
Gold4小时小台阶震荡反弹,目前的反弹还是当作修正对待,空间上并未完全反转趋势,从二浪下跌高点1998的下挫,反抽昨日触及到了0.382的阻力,此位是反弹的首个阻力点,昨日也确实点到即止。日线收低留出上影线,使得短线仍存悬念。从浪形反弹修正的空间来看。0.382的反弹是正常的修正区域。此处若能压制转空,那么后市仍会看向跌势,不过近期美元表现弱势,使得黄金短线还是小有支撑,预计周初在美联储利率决议之前,短线还是震荡拉锯节奏。黄金小时图上,虽然日内黄金居高震荡,整体走势符合预期的以时间来换空间的消化,但是居高横盘状态下,对于操作上会带来一定的不便,尤其是多单的参与上。美盘时段黄金突破前高最高来到1869美元附近,黄金暂时还是关注1870-75一带压力,技术上还是有进一步回修调整需求的,即便行情以时间消耗来换空间的回修,空间上也是要有一定回撤的,后市下方继续关注1860附近争夺,主要支撑也继续看短线上涨通道趋势线支撑1855一带。所以综合分析,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主,回落做多为辅,上方短期关注1868-1873Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1845-1840Frontline support
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